Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier Soccer League
South Africa - Premier Soccer League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Premier Soccer League Predictions
Soweto's fiercest rivals meet for the first time this season, as Kaizer Chiefs go up against title-chasing Orlando Pirates in a jam-packed FNB Stadium on matchday 19 of the Betway Premiership. Will AmaKhosi be able to secure the bragging rights in front of their home crowd or will Amabhakabhaka prove difficult to overcome in a derby that separates South African families? Here's our match prediction.
With 30 points amassed in 16 Betway Premiership games, the concept of a league title is not out of reach for Kaizer Chiefs this season, with eight points separating them from the top spot. However, finishing inside the top three is on their mindset. They have two games in hand over third-placed Sekhukhune United, who have accumulated 32 points.
Orlando Pirates have their sights set on the championship, and anything short of that will be seen as failure. For the Orlando-based side, this is a must-win fixture if they still want to be in contention. Judging by their past performances in the league, they have the confidence and form to overcome their rivals.
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Kaizer Chiefs v Orlando Pirates Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 2.75 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.48 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.48 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.58 | 2.36 |
|
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3.5 | 2.58 | 2.36 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kaizer Chiefs and Orlando Pirates?
Our prediction for the Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates match is: Orlando Pirates wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Kaizer Chiefs and Orlando Pirates in Premier Soccer League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.35% for a win of Kaizer Chiefs against Orlando Pirates with odds of 3.8 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates is 18.55% with odds of 2.8 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs with odds of 2.37 at Shangrila.
Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kaizer Chiefs Orlando Pirates Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates wins | 49.09% | 2.37 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.75% | 1.61 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Orlando Pirates/Orlando Pirates | 19.32% | 3.75 at LSbet |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates Form
Kaizer Chiefs and Orlando Pirates's standings in the Premier Soccer League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | +46 |
|
3
|
54 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +14 |
Kaizer Chiefs and Orlando Pirates Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
14 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
4 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
8 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
20 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
29 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
4 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
4 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
25 Jan 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Premier Soccer League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier Soccer League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
18 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
14 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
7 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
18 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
14 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
6 Dec 2025 - League Cup
25 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier Soccer League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Nov 2025 - League Cup
5 Nov 2025 - Premier Soccer League
Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - FA Cup
3 May 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier Soccer League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier Soccer League
21 Mar 2021 - Premier Soccer League
Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates: Form Analysis
Kaizer Chiefs were unlucky not to have picked up three points against Stellenbosch in their recent league fixture. The Soweto giants created 1.97 expected goals and registered 14 shots at goal, with nine finding the target. They failed to translate their dominance into a win, suffering a 2-1 home defeat.
AmaKhosi have now lost their last two matches across all competitions. That league defeat also brought their nine-match unbeaten run to an abrupt end.
They'll be hopeful of a return to winning ways as they are once again privileged with home advantage. They have won four of their last ten home matches this season. This leaves them with the fourth-best home record in the league.
Orlando Pirates have won the past five league meetings against Kaizer Chiefs.
Orlando Pirates are a team seeking redemption after crashing out of the Nedbank Cup on Saturday. It was a winnable fixture against National First Division outfit Casric Stars in the last 16. After a goalless draw in regular time, they lost 5-4 in a penalty shootout, becoming the third giant to bow out of the competition.
Amabhakabhaka return to domestic duties. Their attention shifts to the Betway Premiership, where their last match was a narrow 2-1 home defeat against reigning champions Mamelodi Sundowns.
That result ended a 14-match unbeaten run, including a three-match winning streak.
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Players list
B. Bvuma
DefenderZ. Kwinika
A. McCarthy
I. Miguel
J. Monyane
MidfielderN. Ngcobo
E. Chislett
ForwardPule Mmodi
M. Lilepo
F. Silva
L. Maboe
S. Chaine
DefenderL. Seema
N. Sibisi
MidfielderT. Mbatha
M. Makhaula
ForwardD. Hotto
T. Moremi
K. Sebelebele
R. Mofokeng
Y. Mbuthuma
O. Appollis
Substitutes
F. Ntwari
DefenderP. Mako
B. Cross
T. Cele
L. Sirino
D. Solomons
ForwardA. Velebayi
W. Duba
A. Du Preez
M. Buthelezi
DefenderM. Chabatsane
N. Ndaba
MidfielderM. Nemtajela
P. Maswanganyi
A. De Jong
C. Dansin
ForwardE. Makgopa
D. Van Rooyen
Kaizer Chiefs & Orlando Pirates Squad Analysis
Kaizer Chiefs will be glad to welcome the returns of Fiacre Ntwari, Bradley Cross, and Thabo Cele from injury. However, it's still to be seen whether they'll start this one.
Head coach Khalil Ben Youssef is expected to field the same starting XI that dropped three points against Stellenbosch. After seven months of not playing, Ethan Chislett finally made his debut and was impressive. He played an important role as a central midfielder and made 7 out of 8 successful passes in the final third.
Flavio Silva is the team's top scorer this season with five goals. He is currently scoring a goal for every 92 minutes and could be on the scoreboard. It must be pointed out that he has scored in two of his last three home league games.
Relebohile Mofokeng has contributed to three goals involvments in his last four away league games for Orlando Pirates.
Orlando Pirates have some fitness issues with some of their key players expected to be sidelined for the Soweto Derby clash. Boitumelo Radiopane and Evidence Makgopa are ruled out as questionable, while Tapelo Xoki and Thabiso Lebitso are out with injuries.
Midfielder Patrick Maswanganyi is in red-hot form for the visitors. He has scored in his last two league games for club, taking his goal tally to five - the team's highest.
Most goals and assists
Kaizer Chiefs
Orlando Pirates
F. Silva
(8 Goals)
R. Mofokeng
(10 Goals)
Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates Key Points
- Kaizer Chiefs have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Orlando Pirates have won four of their last six matches in all competitions.
- Kaizer Chiefs have lost their last two home league games against Orlando Pirates.
- Orlando Pirates have won their last four league games against Kaizer Chiefs.
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Our Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates Prediction
Kaizer Chiefs won the previous matchup between these two sides 2-1. While they aim to replicate the same result, they are up against a side that was recently on a 14-match unbeaten run in the Betway Premiership.
Orlando Pirates may not have the upper hand in past meetings against Kaizer Chiefs. However, they've been dominant in recent fixtures winning four games in a row. They are unbeaten in seven away league games. Five of those wins resulted in victory and for that we are backing them to walk away with three points here. Our Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates prediction: Orlando Pirates wins.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates Alternative Predictions
Less than 1.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kaizer Chiefs Orlando Pirates
| Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs wins | 3.74 | 3.8 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 2.51 | 2.8 | +11.6% |
| Orlando Pirates wins | 2.31 | 2.37 | +2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Orlando Pirates is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.3% and is now 42.2% (-1.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
