Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana Prediction & Betting Tips - Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazachstan - Kazakhstan Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Matchday four of the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League will see an interesting battle as the “Two Capitals Derby” pits Kairat Almaty against FC Astana on Easter Sunday. This match in Almaty between the fourth-placed “Yellow-blacks” and the first-placed “Yellow-and-Blues” comes with our prediction of a draw.
Both teams have seven points (W2, D1) ahead of this round and are one of the four teams on the same tally ahead of this round. Incidentally, they are two of the seven teams who are yet to lose in the league this season.
Kairat lost 2-0 in a friendly to Zenit last weekend, but take nothing away from their start to the Premier League season. They are yet to concede a goal this season and drew 0-0 away at Zhetysu Taldykorgan, which was preceded by two 1-0 wins on the first two matchdays.
The hosts will be wary of their home record, though, as they lost three of their last four home competitive games, two coming in the Champions League.
Astana won 2-0 at home against Tobol in their last matchday, posting their second clean sheet in a row, as they drew 0-0 away at Kaisar Kyzylorda. Their 4-1 win on matchday one makes them the highest scorers of the division so far, although they are yet to score on the road.
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Kairat Almaty v FC Astana Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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2.07 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
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|
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2.44 | 3.17 | 2.95 |
|
|
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1.98 | 3.45 | 3.71 |
|
|
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2.02 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
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|
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2.32 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kairat Almaty and FC Astana?
Our prediction for the Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Kairat Almaty and FC Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.41% for a win of Kairat Almaty against FC Astana with odds of 2.44 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana is 37.77% with odds of 3.45 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.82% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty with odds of 3.71 at Betwinner.
Kairat Almaty - FC Astana Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kairat Almaty FC Astana Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.77% | 3.45 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 54.94% | 1.76 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 63.54% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 15.88% |
Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana Form
Kairat Almaty and FC Astana's standings in the Kazakhstan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 |
|
5
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +4 |
Kairat Almaty and FC Astana Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
7 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Super Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Super Cup
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
7 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
14 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Kazakhstan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
19 Sept 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
1 Sept 2024 - Kazakhstan Premier League
29 Jun 2024 - Kazakhstan Premier League
Kairat Almaty - FC Astana Key Points
- The last two Premier League matches between these sides ended in 1-1 draws.
- Astana drew four of their last six matches, including three friendlies.
- In the Premier League, Astana drew two of their last four matches.
- Kairat are yet to concede a league goal in this campaign.
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Our Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana Prediction
This is the famous “Two Capitals Derby” pitting the modern dominance of Astana against the historical presence of Kairat Almaty. That adds to the intrigue of this match coming early in this Kazakh Premier League. The last two matches between these sides ended in 1-1 draws last season, but will the trend continue here? Kairat made a defensive start to the campaign, posting three clean sheets in three matches. Astana, on the other hand, have averaged two goals per game so far.
Going by the recent record, our Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana prediction is draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kairat Almaty FC Astana
| Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty wins | 2.25 | 2.44 | +8.4% |
| Draw | 3.36 | 3.45 | +2.7% |
| FC Astana wins | 3.1 | 3.71 | +19.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.8% and is now 29.0% (-0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.