Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
ATP - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can Luciano Darderi continue his good form on clay? He lost the Buenos Aires final to Francisco Cerundolo and now heads to the Rio Open. Round one sees the second seed take on Francisco's younger brother Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Time for our match prediction.
Unseeded opposition will be faced in round two, either Yannick Hanfmann or Brazilian wild card Joao Luca Reis da Silva.
Luciano Darderi will be out for some revenge here. 2024 saw him beaten in the first qualifying round of this outdoor clay court tournament by Juan Manuel Cerundolo. It was Francisco who ended his Rio campaign last year in round two.
The Italian has won three of his five matches against Cerundolo, all played on clay.
He has won seven of his ten matches this year and made it to round four of the Australian Open. Darderi is a career-high 21st in the live rankings and that's over 55 places ahead of his opponent.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is playing in this tournament for the fourth time but is yet to make it past round one. He has a 4-2 record on clay this year and reached the last four in the Rosario Challenger Tour event.
In Buenos Aires, Cerundolo lost to Pedro Martinez in round two.
We tip Darderi to win in straight sets.
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Luciano Darderi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.2 | 1.35 |
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3.15 | 1.36 |
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3.2 | 1.36 |
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3.05 | 1.34 |
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3.05 | 1.34 |
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Who will win the Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi match is: Luciano Darderi wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi game on 17/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo has a 28.85% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 3.25.
- Luciano Darderi has a 71.15% probability of winning facing Juan Manuel Cerundolo ⭐ with odds of 1.36 at Betwinner.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Juan Manuel Cerundolo has a 28.85 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28.85 % |
| Luciano Darderi | 71.15 % |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Form
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
26 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
29 Feb 2024 - ATP Santiago Open
Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Darderi was the runner-up in Buenos Aires last week.
- Darderi leads Cerundolo 3-2 in previous meetings, all played on clay.
- Cerundolo has lost two of his last three clay court matches.
- Darderi won four clay court titles last year, three on the ATP Tour.
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Our Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Two of Darderi's three victories over Cerundolo came in straight sets. He certainly looks to be in the kind of form to do that again in Rio. After some strong outdoor hard court performances down under, he was the runner-up in Buenos Aires last weekend.
Four clay court titles were won by the Italan last year. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has beaten him previously in Rio but Darderi will be tough to beat this time. Our Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Luciano Darderi prediction is Luciano Darderi wins in straight sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
