Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
An unseeded player wiil make their way into round three of the Australian Open. Wild card Jordan Thompson bids to get his first win over unseeded Nuno Borges. Can the Australian make it past round two in Melbourne? Read our match prediction.
Thompson is in round two of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam for the sixth time. However, the 31-year-old has never made it past this stage in Melourne. The scheduled third round opponents are either 25th seed Learner Tien or unseeded Alexander Shevchenko.
Last year saw Thompson only win seven of his 17 outdoor hard court matches. He had several injury problems in 2025, retiring from matches on four occasions. Round one of this tournament saw him beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in four sets and is 105th in the live rankings.
Borges has defeated Thompson in straight sets in each of their three previous meetings. That includes meeting in last year's Australian Open with Thompson only winning nine games in three sets.
He beat seventh-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in round one. The Canadian retired when two sets to one down. Borges is 47th in the live rankings and has made it to at least round three in four of his last five Grand Slams. We tip him to beat Thompson in straight sets.
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Jordan Thompson v Nuno Borges Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.68 | 1.48 |
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2.68 | 1.48 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.44 | 1.49 |
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2.44 | 1.5 |
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Who will win the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges match is: Nuno Borges wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges game on 20/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Jordan Thompson has a 42.73% chance to win against Nuno Borges according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.68.
- Nuno Borges has a 57.27% probability of winning facing Jordan Thompson ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.
Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jordan Thompson has a 42.73 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jordan Thompson | 42.73 % |
| Nuno Borges | 57.27 % |
Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Form
Jordan Thompson and Nuno Borges Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
25 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
13 Sept 2025 - Davis Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
9 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
14 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges Key Points
- Thompson has never reached round three of this tournament.
- Borges has made it to at least round three in four of his last five Grand Slams.
- Borges has won six of his last eight matches in this Grand Slam, only being beaten by Medvedev and Alcaraz.
- Thompson has never won a set against Borges in three previous meetings and lost to him in last year's Australian Open.
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Our Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Prediction
Jordan Thompson has never made it to round three in the Australian Open. Nor has he ever won a set against Nuno Borges in three previous meetings. He will hope to avoid losing to the Portuguese player in this Grand Slam for a second successive year.
Borges beat a seed in round one and earlier this month he reached the last eight in Hong Kong. His record in this tournament is strong and our Jordan Thompson v Nuno Borges prediction is Nuno Borges wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.