Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open

ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 152 Australia
Jordan Thompson
20/01/2026 23:20
ATP 50 Portugal
Nuno Borges

Prediction :

 

Nuno Borges wins in straight sets

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions

An unseeded player wiil make their way into round three of the Australian Open. Wild card Jordan Thompson bids to get his first win over unseeded Nuno Borges. Can the Australian make it past round two in Melbourne? Read our match prediction.

Thompson is in round two of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam for the sixth time. However, the 31-year-old has never made it past this stage in Melourne. The scheduled third round opponents are either 25th seed Learner Tien or unseeded Alexander Shevchenko.

Last year saw Thompson only win seven of his 17 outdoor hard court matches. He had several injury problems in 2025, retiring from matches on four occasions. Round one of this tournament saw him beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in four sets and is 105th in the live rankings.

Borges has defeated Thompson in straight sets in each of their three previous meetings. That includes meeting in last year's Australian Open with Thompson only winning nine games in three sets.

He beat seventh-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in round one. The Canadian retired when two sets to one down. Borges is 47th in the live rankings and  has made it to at least round three in four of his last five Grand Slams. We tip him to beat Thompson in straight sets.

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Jordan Thompson v Nuno Borges Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.68 1.48
Betwinner
2.68 1.48
Bet365
2.5 1.53
Roobet
2.44 1.49
BC Game
2.44 1.5
Check all Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges odds

Who will win the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges match is: Nuno Borges wins in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges game on 20/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:

  • Jordan Thompson has a 42.73% chance to win against Nuno Borges according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.68.
  • Nuno Borges has a 57.27% probability of winning facing Jordan Thompson ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.

Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jordan Thompson has a 42.73 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jordan Thompson42.73 %
Nuno Borges57.27 %

Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Form

Jordan Thompson and Nuno Borges Last Matches

Jordan Thompson Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1 :  3
Jordan Thompson

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Jordan Thompson

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Jordan Thompson
2 :  1
August Holmgren

25 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Jordan Thompson
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

13 Sept 2025 - Davis Cup

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Zizou Bergs
Nuno Borges Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Eliot Spizzirri

13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Nuno Borges
2 :  1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

9 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Marin Cilic
0 :  2
Nuno Borges

5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Nuno Borges

6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jordan Thompson

0 %

Nuno Borges

100 %

14 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  3
Nuno Borges

Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges Key Points

  1. Thompson has never reached round three of this tournament.
  2. Borges has made it to at least round three in four of his last five Grand Slams.
  3. Borges has won six of his last eight matches in this Grand Slam, only being beaten by Medvedev and Alcaraz.
  4. Thompson has never won a set against Borges in three previous meetings and lost to him in last year's Australian Open.
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Our Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Jordan Thompson has never made it to round three in the Australian Open. Nor has he ever won a set against Nuno Borges in three previous meetings. He will hope to avoid losing to the Portuguese player in this Grand Slam for a second successive year.

Borges beat a seed in round one and earlier this month he reached the last eight in Hong Kong. His record in this tournament is strong and our Jordan Thompson v Nuno Borges prediction is Nuno Borges wins in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Nuno Borges wins in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges Prediction