ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Fifth seed Jack Draper and 10th seed Lorenzo Musetti will battle in the semi-finals of the Madrid Open. This is their fourth career meeting, and the winner will advance to play Casper Ruud or Francisco Cerundolo in the final. Here's our prediction for this match.
Jack Draper is having quite the season. He has made it to two finals already, won one title and broken into the ATP top 10. The Brit, currently up to fifth in the live ranking, is yet to lose a set in Madrid.
He has won against Tallon Griekspoor, Matteo Berrettini, Tommy Paul and Matteo Arnaldi. Draper earned his 18th win in 22 outings by outclassing Arnaldi 6-0, 6-4 in the last round.
The 23-year-old is unbeaten against Musetti.
Lorenzo Musetti is having an exciting clay-court season. The Italian switched to clay in Monte-Carlo, where he finished as runner-up to register his first Masters 1000 appearance in a final.
He has now won nine of 10 clay matches after winning four more matches this week. Musetti, who also hasn’t lost a set in this event, defeated Gabriel Diallo in the quarter-finals.
The 24-year-old has also won against Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex de Minaur in his run in Madrid. Advancing to this round has propelled him up to ninth in the live ranking to earn his top 10 debut.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Lorenzo Musetti Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.53 | 2.5 |
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1.55 | 2.3 |
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1.55 | 2.35 |
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1.62 | 2.41 |
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1.62 | 2.41 |
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Draper to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 02/05/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 60.66% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.65.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 39.34% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 60.66 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jack Draper | 60.66 % |
Lorenzo Musetti | 39.34 % |
Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
26 Oct 2024 - ATP Vienna
8 Nov 2023 - Sofia Open
10 Nov 2022 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Draper has defeated Musetti three times previously.
- In six outings on clay this year, Draper has won five times.
- Draper has made it to two finals already this season.
- Musetti has lost 25 of 36 meetings with top 10-ranked ATP players.
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Our Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Our prediction for Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti is for Draper to win in three sets. Draper has an unblemished record in his meetings with Musetti. He has won all three previous meetings with the Italian. None of their matchups has ever taken place on clay, which is a surface Musetti highly favours.
This, therefore, is a tie that is likely to go the full distance as both players have also been in great form this year. Draper, though, is our best bet to win on account of his dominance in this fixture and excellent form this week. The Brit has sailed through to the semi-finals without losing a set.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jack Draper vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jack Draper or Lorenzo Musetti , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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