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Italy vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Italy
02/09/2025 14:30
Spain

Prediction :

 

Over 149.5 Points

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Italy and Spain clash in Group C of the FIBA Eurobasket, bringing together two European basketball powerhouses who've consistently delivered entertaining, high-scoring battles whenever they meet. Both teams arrive with strong group stage form and everything to play for in terms of seeding for the knockout rounds. Discover our best Italy vs Spain match prediction.

The historical data between these nations tells a tale of offensive fireworks. Four of their last six meetings dating back to 2013 have produced 150+ total points, while their last two Eurobasket encounters both cleared 149.5 points comfortably.

Notably, Spain's group stage scoring has been impressive across the board. Two of their three games so far have recorded at least 150 points, with the only exception being their 91-47 demolition of Cyprus. That low-scoring affair was hardly surprising given the massive quality gap, but against serious opposition, Spain consistently gets involved in shootouts.

Italy's latest outing perfectly illustrates their attacking potential after beating Bosnia & Herzegovina 96-79 in a 175-point thriller that never needed overtime. The broader trends support this bet as five of Italy's last seven games have hit at least 150 points, while seven of Spain's last nine contests have cleared 149.5 points.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Spain Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.71 2.2
William Hill
1.67 2.1
Betway
1.65 2.1
Ladbrokes
1.65 2.1
Unibet
1.7 2.16
Check all Italy vs Spain odds
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Who will win the Italy vs Spain Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Italy vs Spain match is: Over 149.5 Points.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Spain game on 02/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Italy has a 53.59% chance to pick up the win against Spain according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.71.
  • There is a probability of 46.41% ⭐ for Spain to win vs Italy with odds of 2.2 at Bet365.

Italy vs Spain Form

Italy and Spain's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Italy
Italy
7 4 3 1 3
3
Spain
Spain
6 4 2 2 -1

Italy and Spain Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary

25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
74 :  81
Iceland
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
67 :  80
Italy

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
71 :  95
Italy
Spain
Spain Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
78 :  73
Spain
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
67 :  75
France

7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
87 :  73
Czechia

5 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
74 :  76
Portugal
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
78 :  73
Spain

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Latvia
83 :  66
Spain

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Slovakia
72 :  76
Spain

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
88 :  85
Spain

Italy - Spain Key Points

  1. Four of their last six head-to-head meetings dating back to 2013 have recorded 150+ total points.
  2. Their last two FIBA Eurobasket meetings have both recorded over 149.5 points.
  3. Two of Spain's three group stage games have recorded at least 150 points, with only the Cyprus blowout falling short.
  4. Italy's latest game against Bosnia & Herzegovina produced 175 total points without needing overtime.
  5. Five of Italy's last seven games have recorded at least 150 points across all competitions.
  6. Seven of Spain's last nine games have recorded over 149.5 points.
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Our Italy vs Spain Prediction

When two attacking teams with proven track records of high-scoring games meet in a meaningful contest, the stats usually indicate high-scoring affairs over defense. Both Italy and Spain have shown throughout this tournament that they're comfortable trading baskets with quality opposition.

Their head-to-head history involves consistently high totals whenever these teams share the court. Spain's lone low-scoring game came against overmatched Cyprus, while Italy just participated in a 175-point thriller. Everything points toward another offensive showcase between two teams. Hence, our Italy vs Spain prediction is Over 149.5 Points.

Prediction :

 

Over 149.5 Points

 
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Italy vs. Spain game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Italy and Spain? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs Spain Prediction
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