San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Prediction & Betting Tips - PBA - Philippine Cup

Philippines - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
11/01/2026 04:15
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

Prediction :

 

San Miguel Beermen +1.0 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Basketball Predictions

San Miguel Beermen trade tackles with Barangay Ginebra San Miguel in Game 4 of this PBA Philippine Cup semi-final series on Sunday. San Miguel Beermen lead the series 2–1 and will look to close in on qualifying for the final with their third win. Here is our prediction for the match. 

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel went into the lead in this series after a hard-fought 99–90 win in Game 1. Tim Cone’s men dominated the first and final quarter by decisive margins to secure the shock victory. However, they couldn't replicate this impressive result in Game 2, squandering an eight-point lead and ultimately losing by nine points, bringing the series level at 1–1.  

On Friday, the three-time PBA Philippine Cup champions suffered their second consecutive defeat in the series, losing 91–84 to trail San Miguel Beermen 2–1. That result marked their fourth defeat in five PBA Philippine Cup games against San Miguel Beermen.

Notably, the series has been highly competitive so far with all three victories coming by tight margins. Can Barangay Ginebra San Miguel restore parity again with a much-needed victory on Sunday?

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San Miguel Beermen v Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.87 1.8
Roobet
1.99 1.71
BC Game
1.99 1.71
Tonybet
1.98 1.74
LSbet
1.9 1.74
Check all San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel odds

Who will win the San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Basketball game?

Our prediction for the San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel match is: San Miguel Beermen +1.0 handicap.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel game on 11/01/2026 of the current PBA - Philippine Cup season:

  • San Miguel Beermen has a 57.13% chance to pick up the win against Barangay Ginebra San Miguel according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.
  • There is a probability of 42.87% ⭐ for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel to win vs San Miguel Beermen with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.

San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Form

San Miguel Beermen and Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Last Matches

San Miguel Beermen
San Miguel Beermen Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

9 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
85 :  91
San Miguel Beermen

7 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
93 :  84
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

4 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
99 :  90
San Miguel Beermen

25 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Nlex Road Warriors
94 :  101
San Miguel Beermen

19 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts
104 :  113
San Miguel Beermen

17 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
135 :  115
Terrafirma Dyip
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

7 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
93 :  84
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

17 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
135 :  115
Terrafirma Dyip

7 Nov 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
94 :  92
Magnolia Hotshots

26 Oct 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
83 :  81
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

12 Oct 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
103 :  109
Phoenix Fuel Masters

8 Oct 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
84 :  85
Nlex Road Warriors
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

9 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
85 :  91
San Miguel Beermen

4 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
99 :  90
San Miguel Beermen

25 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Nlex Road Warriors
94 :  101
San Miguel Beermen

19 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts
104 :  113
San Miguel Beermen

13 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Blackwater Bossing
92 :  116
San Miguel Beermen

5 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

TNT Tropang 5G
95 :  110
San Miguel Beermen
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

9 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
85 :  91
San Miguel Beermen

7 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
93 :  84
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

4 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
99 :  90
San Miguel Beermen

28 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Converge Fiberxers
98 :  99
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

25 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
105 :  85
Converge Fiberxers

21 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
108 :  105
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

9 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
85 :  91
San Miguel Beermen

4 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
99 :  90
San Miguel Beermen

25 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
105 :  85
Converge Fiberxers

21 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
108 :  105
Titan Ultra Giant Risers

10 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
103 :  85
Blackwater Bossing

14 Nov 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
96 :  106
Converge Fiberxers
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

7 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
93 :  84
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

28 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Converge Fiberxers
98 :  99
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

17 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
100 :  102
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

12 Dec 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Terrafirma Dyip
77 :  108
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

16 Nov 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Phoenix Fuel Masters
93 :  102
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

2 Nov 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Nlex Road Warriors
74 :  104
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

San Miguel Beermen

67 %

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

33 %

9 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
85 :  91
San Miguel Beermen

7 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
93 :  84
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

4 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
99 :  90
San Miguel Beermen

26 Oct 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
83 :  81
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

9 Jul 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen
100 :  93
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

6 Jul 2025 - PBA - Philippine Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
88 :  87
San Miguel Beermen

San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Key Points

  1. San Miguel Beermen lead the series 2–1.
  2. San Miguel Beermen have won the last two games of the series.
  3. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel have lost four of their last five games against San Miguel Beermen.
  4. All three games in this series have been decided by competitive margins.
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Our San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Prediction

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel will be desperate to bounce back in Sunday's clash and could tie the series with a win, setting the stage for finely poised final two games. However, San Miguel Beermen have proven the better team in the last two games of the series and will look to build on these impressive recent results. 

Nevertheless, another close contest appears likely, with only slim margins separating the teams in the three games played so far. Our San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel prediction is San Miguel Beermen +1.0 handicap.

Prediction :

 

San Miguel Beermen +1.0 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Prediction