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Italy vs Cyprus Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Italy
04/09/2025 11:15
Cyprus

Prediction :

 

Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Italy welcomes Cyprus in the final game of their Group C FIBA Eurobasket encounter in what should be a routine victory for the Italians and the 20th loss in a row for Cyprus men. See our best Italy vs Cyprus match prediction below.

Cyprus's struggles in opening quarters have become their defining weakness throughout recent competitions. They've lost the first quarter by 9+ points in three of their four group stage games, extending a concerning pattern that's seen them fall behind by this margin early in eight of their last ten contests. Even outside friendlies, opposing teams have covered this 9-point first quarter spread in six of Cyprus's last seven games.

Italy's recent 67-63 victory over Spain was a grind-it-out affair that showcased their championship mentality, but they should be hungry for points in their Cyprus matchup. Italy is now tied with Greece for first place, and with a +46 difference, only a blowout against Cyprus can secure top spot for them. 

Although Italy and Cyprus have not met in recent years, the last time Italy faced similar odds (against Bahrain), they won the first quarter by 10 points and cruised to a 114-53 victory. Also, Cyprus just suffered their 19th consecutive defeat, falling 93-61 to Georgia in a result that extended their miserable run to 23 losses from their last 24 games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Cyprus Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
William Hill
1 41
Vbet
1 23
Betobet
1.01 16.89
BC Game
1.01 16
Check all Italy vs Cyprus odds
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Who will win the Italy vs Cyprus Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Italy vs Cyprus match is: Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Cyprus game on 04/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Italy has a 87.36% chance to pick up the win against Cyprus according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.01.
  • There is a probability of 12.64% ⭐ for Cyprus to win vs Italy with odds of 41 at William Hill.

Italy vs Cyprus Form

Italy and Cyprus's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Italy
Italy
9 5 4 1 4
6
Cyprus
Cyprus
5 5 0 5 -5

Italy and Cyprus Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
78 :  62
Georgia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
79 :  96
Italy

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
67 :  80
Italy

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
71 :  95
Italy
Cyprus
Cyprus Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
61 :  93
Georgia

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
91 :  64
Cyprus

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Cyprus
55 :  122
Serbia

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Cyprus
69 :  109
Israel
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
61 :  93
Georgia

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Cyprus
55 :  122
Serbia

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Cyprus
69 :  109
Israel

24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Cyprus
67 :  104
Croatia

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Cyprus
59 :  75
France
L L L L
Wins

0/4 (0%)

Losses

4/4 (100%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
91 :  64
Cyprus

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bosnia & Herzegovina
108 :  62
Cyprus

24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

France
85 :  70
Cyprus

Players list

Italy
Italy
M. Spagnolo A. Pajola N. Melli M. Diouf S. Fontecchio
Cyprus
Cyprus
M. Koumis N. Stylianou S. Michail C. Simitzis D. Willis

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
M. Spissu D. Thompson G. Ricci D. Gallinari N. Akele G. Procida S. Niang
Cyprus
Cyprus
C. Loizides S. Iliadis F. Tigkas A. Christodoulou I. Giannaras I. Pasiali A. Jung

Italy - Cyprus Key Points

  1. Cyprus has lost the first quarter by 9+ points in three of their four group stage games.
  2. Cyprus has lost the first quarter by 9+ points in eight of their last ten games across all competitions.
  3. Outside friendlies, opposing teams have covered the 9-point first quarter spread in six of Cyprus's last seven games.
  4. When Italy faced similar odds against Bahrain, they won the first quarter by 10 points in a 114-53 victory.
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Our Italy vs Cyprus Prediction

First quarter execution often decides the tempo of games, and with Italy looking for a blowout, we expect a significant points margin very early on. With group positioning potentially depending on bucket difference, Italy should come out aggressive from the opening tip against opposition that's been buried early in games consistently. 

Cyprus's inability to compete in opening quarters gives Italy every opportunity to build the kind of commanding lead that secures both the spread and sets up a comfortable victory. Hence, our Italy vs Cyprus prediction is Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread.

Prediction :

 

Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread

 
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Italy vs. Cyprus game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Italy and Cyprus? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs Cyprus Prediction
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