Iran vs Gambia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup continue for Iran as they head to Antalya for two friendly matches, the first of which comes against Gambia at Mardan Sports Complex. Having lost one of their last five matches, Team Melli should be able to come out on top in a low-scoring affair; thus, our prediction leans in their favour.
Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America - their fourth consecutive appearance - by topping Group A in the third round of the FIFA World Cup Asian qualifiers.
Team Melli had originally planned to use the United States as their informal training headquarters, but due to the ongoing war in the Middle East, that won't be happening anymore.
They head into this clash having lost just one of their last five matches across all competitions. Their last match was a friendly against Costa Rica, which they won 5-0.
Africa has seen ten teams qualify for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup; unfortunately, Gambia is not one of them. The West African team finished third in Group F of Africa’s World Cup qualifying.
Their last match in the competition was a dominant 7-0 away win to Seychelles, who finished at the bottom of the table with zero points.
After that, the Scorpions played two friendly games and failed to secure a win, their most recent a 3-1 road defeat to Senegal.
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Iran v Gambia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.57 | 3.85 | 5.6 |
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1.53 | 4.1 | 6.45 |
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1.59 | 3.86 | 6.05 |
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|
1.48 | 4 | 6.2 |
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1.48 | 4 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Iran and Gambia?
Our prediction for the Iran vs Gambia match is: Iran wins and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/05/2026 between Iran and Gambia in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.83% for a win of Iran against Gambia with odds of 1.6 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Iran vs Gambia is 16.57% with odds of 4.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Gambia vs Iran with odds of 6.45 at Melbet.
Iran - Gambia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Iran Gambia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Iran wins | 48.83% | 1.6 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.04% | 2.02 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Gambia / Full-time: Iran | 19.71% | 25 at LSbet |
Iran vs Gambia Form
Iran and Gambia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
8 Sept 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
Iran - Gambia Key Points
- Iran have lost just one of their last five matches across all competitions, with four of those matches ending with under 3.5 goals.
- Gambia are winless in their last three friendly games.
- Iran's win ratio against teams from West Africa in friendly games is 56.25%.
- Gambia are winless in their last three away friendly games. They managed a single goal in two of those outings.
- Iran have seen six of their last seven matches across all competitions end with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Iran vs Gambia Prediction
Iran have a superior quality at their disposal and should be able to secure a comprehensive win before meeting Mali in the final fixture. Team Melli has an impressive record against teams from West Africa, winning nine of their last 16 matches (D3, L4).
Gambia, meanwhile, are winless in their last two friendly games and could struggle for a favorable outcome. To make matters worse, they've won just one of their last seven friendly matches and are winless in their last three. That said, expect Iran to win comfortably here. Our Iran vs Gambia prediction: Iran wins and under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Iran Gambia
| Iran vs Gambia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran wins | 1.52 | 1.6 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.1 | +2.5% |
| Gambia wins | 6.75 | 6.45 | -4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Iran is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 62.5% (-3.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
