Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Title rivals Inter Milan and Napoli will highlight the 20th round of matches in the Italian Serie A this weekend. The two giants clash on Sunday in a match to be hosted at the San Siro Stadium. Heading into this match, Inter top the league standings, with Napoli sitting a close third in one of the tightest title races in Europe. Read on to find our preview and a prediction of the game.
Inter Milan took key lessons from their loss to AC Milan in the derby, as they haven't lost a league game since. They have opened up a three-point gap on second-placed Milan, while Napoli trail the leaders by four points.
Napoli lost crucial ground in their title defence when they drew in their last outing and will hope to recover here. That could prove problematic, as at the San Siro this season, Napoli have already suffered defeat, falling 2-1 to AC Milan in September.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Napoli match is: Inter Milan wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Inter Milan and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.22% for a win of Inter Milan against Napoli with odds of 2.15 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Napoli is 16% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Inter Milan with odds of 5.5 at Shangrila.
Inter Milan vs Napoli Form
Inter Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
42 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 25 |
|
4
|
38 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
Inter Milan and Napoli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
Inter Milan vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
17 Mar 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Italian Super Cup
3 Dec 2023 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis
Inter Milan were the biggest beneficiaries in midweek as far as the title race goes. Their immediate two challengers for the title, AC Milan and Napoli, dropped points in the 19th round. Meanwhile, Inter claimed a 2-0 win against Parma to move three points clear.
That has eased pressure, and they will be looking to pull further away. That would leave a big dent in Napoli’s ambitions. For Inter, a big part of their game has been an improvement in defence while maintaining their attacking sharpness. It is such that has earned them 13 wins in the last 15 league matches. In this shape, Inter will be confident of avenging their 3-1 loss to Napoli in October.
Inter are unbeaten in the last six home games against Napoli.
Napoli’s recent visits to Inter Milan haven't been very fruitful. Their last win in the league away to Inter dates back to 2017. They managed a win here in 2020, but that was in the Coppa Italia. That there is one of the barriers Napoli will be looking to break.
Their last two visits ended in draws, so there is a glimmer of hope for the visitors. However, their last outing didn’t really inspire confidence. The Partenopei played to a 2-2 draw at home against relegation-threatened Verona, who went into the break leading 2-0. That result halted their run of four straight wins. They’ve suffered six defeats in the last 10 away matches, and confidence might be at a low here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Inter Milan vs Napoli last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderT. Palacios
D. Dumfries
M. Darmian
ForwardA. Bonny
S. Beukema
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderL. Hasa
C. Saco
K. De Bruyne
B. Gilmour
F. Anguissa
ForwardR. Lukaku
D. Neres
Inter Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis
Marcus Thuram has of late been making up for the times he missed Inter’s matches with injury. The Frenchman has struggled with a muscle injury this season but has scored six goals in his last eight matches. His importance in that attack line can’t be overemphasized, especially after netting in Inter’s last two outings.
Thuram, operating in attack with skipper Lautaro Martinez, have formed one of the most potent attacks in Italy. The Argentine has 14 goal contributions in the league this season. The key component the two are missing is the injured Dutch winger Denzel Dumfries, whose menacing runs and crosses cause opposing defences trouble.
Lautaro Martinez has four goals against Napoli, but none came in the last eight in the league.
Napoli have an injury-hit side, especially their midfield. Kevin De Bruyne is still out with a thigh injury, while Frank Anguissa is also out with the same problem. It gets worse with Romelu Lukaku also ruled out with a similar injury.
David Neres reported discomfort in his ankle and missed the last game, but he isn’t ruled out just yet. On a more positive side, Scott McTominay is back to scoring ways and was key in their 2-2 draw with Verona. He will marshal the champions’ depleted midfield, hoping to add to his two earlier goals against Inter.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Napoli
L. Martinez
(14 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(8 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(7 Assists)
D. Neres
(4 Assists)
Inter Milan and Napoli Stats in Serie A
Inter Milan - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli have suffered six defeats in their last 10 away matches.
- Inter Milan are on six straight wins in Serie A action.
- Inter Milan posted three wins in their last four games.
- Napoli are winless in six matches away to Inter, losing four.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction
Inter Milan have this season struggled in matches against fellow title contenders. One such match, which they lost, was against Napoli in their October meeting. This is Inter Milan’s chance at revenge, and their recent form has shown they are going for it.
With six straight wins in the league, Inter Milan looks more than capable. They will take advantage of Napoli’s poor away form, the visitors having lost six of 10 on the road in all competitions. Our prediction for Inter Milan v Napoli is that Inter Milan wins.
Inter Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
While Inter Milan look like the outright favorites here, we aren’t entirely convinced they will keep a clean sheet. They have just four in the last 11 matches. On the other hand, Napoli have been stopped from scoring only twice in their last 10 matches. This fixture has also seen both sides score in each of the last four meetings. Our second prediction is therefore for both teams to score.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Inter Milan vs. Napoli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Inter Milan and Napoli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Inter Milan vs Napoli - FAQs
The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be played on Sunday, 11th January.
The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
