Inter Milan vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
17/04/2026 14:45
Cagliari

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan to win and BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Inter Milan could move closer to their next Serie A title this Friday when they welcome Cagliari at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. Sitting pretty at the top, Inter don’t look like they’d find trouble dealing with 16th placed Cagliari. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Inter Milan had a big leap last time out as both their nearest title challengers dropped points, while they won their own game. The Nerazzuri came from 2-0 down to beat Como 4-3 and opened up a nine-point lead.

With six matches to go, the hosts will be going for a fourth straight win against Cagliari after a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture.

Cagliari haven’t beaten Inter Milan in the last 12 meetings, losing 10 times in this run. They, however, warmed up for this encounter with a return to winning ways, beating Cremonese 1-0.

That marked the Isolani’s first win in nine matches, (6L, 2D). The fact that they failed to score in just one of their last six matches is a bit encouraging, given Inter haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five outings.

The visitors will be concerned at their away form though, having not won any of the last four, losing three. One of those was against a top six side, Roma.

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Inter Milan v Cagliari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.24 6.6 12
Melbet
1.23 6.3 12.5
Betwinner
1.23 6.3 12.5
Bet365
1.22 6.5 13
Roobet
1.22 6.2 12
Check all Inter Milan vs Cagliari odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Cagliari?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Cagliari match is: Inter Milan to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2026 between Inter Milan and Cagliari in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.37% for a win of Inter Milan against Cagliari with odds of 1.27 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Cagliari is 17.51% with odds of 6.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Inter Milan with odds of 13.3 at 888Starz.

Inter Milan - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:

Inter Milan Cagliari Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 67.37% 1.27 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 61.39% 1.58 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 67.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Inter Milan/Inter Milan 40.11% 1.73 at Bet365

Inter Milan vs Cagliari Form

Inter Milan and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
14 Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 -13

Inter Milan and Cagliari Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
D L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  4
Inter Milan

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
0 :  0
Inter Milan
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

24 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Juventus

4 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Torino FC
L W D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  4
Inter Milan

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
0 :  0
Inter Milan

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

18 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Inter Milan
Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
D L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Cremonese

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Napoli

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
3 :  1
Cagliari

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Como 1907

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Cremonese

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Napoli

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Como 1907

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
4 :  0
Hellas Verona
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
3 :  1
Cagliari

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

Inter Milan vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

83 %

Draw

17 %

Cagliari

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Inter Milan

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Cagliari

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  3
Inter Milan

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Cagliari

28 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Inter Milan

15 May 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Inter Milan
Inter Milan vs Cagliari Prediction

Inter Milan against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

13
J. Martinez
25
M. Akanji
6
S. De Vrij
30
C. Augusto
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
20
H. Calhanoglu
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
94
F. Esposito
9
M. Thuram
29
G. Borrelli
94
S. Esposito
33
A. Obert
25
Sulemana
10
G. Gaetano
8
M. Adopo
2
M. Palestra
15
J. Rodriguez
26
Y. Mina
32
Ze Pedro
1
E. Caprile

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Cagliari

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Y. Sommer

Defender

C. Alexiou

F. Acerbi

M. Darmian

Midfielder

A. Diouf

N. Barella 89'

D. Frattesi

H. Calhanoglu 85'

P. Zielinski

H. Mkhitaryan 75'

Forward

Luis Henrique

F. Dimarco 76'

A. Bonny

M. Thuram 76'

M. Mosconi

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

G. Ciocci

A. Sherri

Defender

A. Dossena

G. Zappa

A. Obert 76'

Midfielder

M. Folorunsho

Sulemana 76'

O. Raterink

J. Liteta

A. Deiola

G. Gaetano 58'

Forward

Y. Trepy

S. Kilicsoy

P. Mendy

G. Borrelli 57'

A. Albarracin

A. Belotti

Ze Pedro 88'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

Y. Bisseck

Midfielder

P. Sucic

Forward

L. Martinez

Cagliari
Cagliari
Defender

R. Idrissi

Forward

M. Felici

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Cagliari
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (7 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)
Best assists
Italy S. Esposito (5 Assists)

Inter Milan - Cagliari Key Points

  1. Inter Milan haven't managed a clean sheet in their last five matches.
  2. Cagliari have lost 10 of their last 12 matches against Inter in all competitions.
  3. Cagliari scored in five of their last six matches.
  4. Both teams scored in eight of Inter Milan’s last 10 home matches.
  5. Inter Milan have won five of their last six league matches at home.
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Our Inter Milan vs Cagliari Prediction

Inter Milan have the best record at home in Serie A and as they meet a side they’ve dominated in recent meetings, they’ll be looking to extend the same. Inter Milan will however be pulled down by the fact that they rarely keep clean sheets.

They’ve managed just one in five home matches, though both sides scored in the other four. The visitors will look at this as an invitation to attack a side that has let in five in the last two games. Our prediction for Inter Milan v Cagliari is for Inter Milan to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan to win and BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Cagliari

Inter Milan vs Cagliari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Inter Milan wins 1.23 1.27 +3.3%
Draw 7.9 6.6 -16.5%
Cagliari wins 13 13.3 +2.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Inter Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 81.3% and is now 78.7% (-2.6%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.