Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Atalanta will be looking to put an embarrassing European outing in midweek behind them when they return to Serie A action this weekend. La Dea are set to travel to league leaders Inter Milan on Saturday for the second and probably final meeting of the season between the two. Read on to find the preview and our prediction of the match.
Atalanta enters the weekend chasing a place in Europe for next season and are currently in seventh place in the standings after 28 rounds of play. Bookmakers have the hosts, who haven’t lost in this fixture since 2018, as firm favorites to claim three points.
Inter Milan, following their earlier elimination from Europe, had no midweek activity. This match finds them well rested and in with a chance to bounce back from a defeat in the Milan derby last time out. That slashed their lead in Serie A to just seven points with 10 games to play.
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Inter Milan v Atalanta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.64 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.64 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Atalanta match is: Inter Milan wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Inter Milan and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.97% for a win of Inter Milan against Atalanta with odds of 1.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Atalanta is 17.48% with odds of 4.82 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Inter Milan with odds of 6.2 at Shangrila.
Inter Milan - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 60.97% | 1.57 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.42% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 25.56% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Inter Milan vs Atalanta Form
Inter Milan and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
87 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 |
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
Inter Milan and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
23 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Inter Milan vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
28 Feb 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2023 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Atalanta: Form Analysis
Inter were eliminated from Europe in February and have had time to prep for this fixture. Christian Chivu’s men have all their energy concentrated on domestic titles. La Beneamata, who have made it to the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia, have accumulated 67 points in Serie A.
Inter have won 22 league matches and are the only team to have won at least 20 games thus far. They, however, have been struggling with a lack of consistency. The hosts have failed to win in four of their last six games, losing three times. Inter were defeated 1-0 last weekend by city rivals Milan, who trail them in second place.
Atalanta are four points behind the European qualification places in Serie A.
Atalanta were in action in midweek in the Champions League and endured one of the club’s heaviest losses. Raffaele Palladino’s men proved to be no match for visiting Bayern Munich in the first leg of their round of 16 tie, losing 6-1.
Atalanta were outclassed by the German champions, who had almost 70% of the ball and 25 shots, with more than half on target. Gli Orobici have an almost insurmountable task in the return game in Germany next week that comes after this trip to Milan. Atalanta have not won in four outings, losing twice. They drew 2-2 with Udinese in the league last weekend.
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Inter Milan against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderA. Bastoni
S. De Vrij
F. Acerbi
M. Darmian
MidfielderI. Kaczmarski
D. Frattesi
A. Diouf
H. Mkhitaryan
L. Martinez
Luis Henrique
M. Lavelli
A. Bonny
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderI. Hien
O. Kossounou
R. Bellanova
M. Bakker
H. Ahanor
MidfielderY. Musah
E. Silva
C. De Ketelaere
N. Krstovic
K. Sulemana
Missing players
H. Calhanoglu
G. Raspadori
Inter Milan & Atalanta Squad Analysis
Hakan Calhanoglu has been in and out of the Inter team due to injuries and was left unused on the bench in the Milan derby. He is not expected to play a part this weekend. Lautaro Martinez has been out for a bit longer with a hamstring problem.
He is nearing his return date and could be involved on Saturday. If so, his presence will be a big boost for the hosts. Marcus Thuram is also an attacking option, having netted seven of his 12 goals in the league. Federico Dimarco has been the Nerazzurri's main threat in attack and so far has been involved in 21 league goals after providing a record 15 assists.
Martinez is the Serie A top scorer with 14 goals.
Giorgio Scalvini missed the last league game for Atalanta with a knee injury but was available in midweek. Unfortunately, he saw red, and though that doesn't affect him domestically, he could find himself unused in Milan.
Atalanta has a crowded treatment room with Charles de Ketelaere, Giacomo Raspadori, and Ederson all missing considerable game time. Gianluca Scamacca leads Atalanta’s scoring charts with 12 goals. The Italian forward has netted eight of those in the league. Mario Pasalic and Nikola Krstovic follow Scamacca closely with nine and eight goals, respectively.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Atalanta
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(17 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Inter Milan - Atalanta Key Points
- Atalanta haven’t beaten Inter in 16 meetings.
- Inter have won nine consecutive meetings with Atalanta.
- Inter have won six times in their last nine fixtures as hosts.
- Atalanta have failed to win in six of their last seven away games, losing three times.
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Our Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction
Our prediction for Inter Milan v Atalanta is that Inter Milan wins. Inter and Atalanta are witnessing a dip in form, and both come into this tie looking to return to winning ways. Inter look better placed, as they have struggled mostly on the road and not at home.
They also have a superior record in this fixture and haven’t lost to Atalanta since 2018. At home, their record in this fixture is even longer. Coupling the above with Atalanta’s heavy midweek defeat in Europe, Inter should be able to make home advantage count.
Inter Milan vs Atalanta Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
In our second prediction, we are settling on this match seeing an over 2.5 goals outcome. Inter are the best attacking team in Serie A and are averaging more than two goals a game. In the league, Inter have scored 64 goals in 28 outings.
Their visitors are also a strong attacking side, and as they will be looking to give a response to their midweek humbling, we look set for a high-scoring affair.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Atalanta
| Inter Milan vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 1.62 | 1.57 | -3.1% |
| Draw | 4.76 | 4.82 | +1.3% |
| Atalanta wins | 5.37 | 6.2 | +15.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 63.7% (2.0%)
Inter Milan vs Atalanta - FAQs
This match will be played on Saturday, 14 March.
This match will be played at Inter Milan’s San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
