New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

22 September 2024 - 14:45 

- Day 5

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
VS
AC Milan

Prediction :

Inter Milan wins the match

Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

It's the first Derby della Madonnina of the 2024-25 Serie A season as Inter Milan play city rivals AC Milan at San Siro. This match on Sunday has all the makings of a classic, and our prediction is a win for the Nerazzurri against the Rossoneri.

The blue half of Milan has dominated the red half in recent seasons, winning the last six matches in all competitions. This is the longest such winning streak in the 115-year history of this city rivalry, and Inter look determined to extend that sequence.

AC Milan didn’t have the best of starts to their campaign, and their woes are further compounded by the injury to first-choice ‘keeper Mike Maignan. That could be a body blow for the designated visitors, especially as they look for ways to turn things around.

Milan manager Paulo Fonseca has failed to beat Inter in his four previous meetings against them, drawing three and losing once. Will that change here, or does Inter have enough quality to keep winning? Read on to find our prediction.

Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - AC Milan! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 3.9 5
Ladbrokes
1.7 3.75 4.8
1xbet
1.73 4.19 5.07
22bet
1.73 4.19 5.07
Betobet
1.72 3.8 5
Betwinner
1.71 3.88 4.74
Stake
1.75 3.95 4.7
Melbet
1.66 4.04 4.88
Tonybet
1.68 4.1 5
Check all Inter Milan vs AC Milan odds
Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - AC Milan! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs AC Milan match is: Inter Milan to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between Inter Milan and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.02% for a win of Inter Milan against AC Milan with odds of 1.75 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs AC Milan is 31.45% with odds of 4.19 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.53% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Inter Milan with odds of 5.07 at 1xbet.

Inter Milan - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Inter Milan AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 53.02% 1.75 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 62.04% 1.88 at Stake
Both Team To Score 63.33% 1.7 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Inter Milan/Inter Milan 26.23% 2.63 at Bet365

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form

Inter Milan and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
14 7 4 2 1 7
5
AC Milan
AC Milan
11 6 3 2 1 7

Inter Milan and AC Milan Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
D D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

18 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Inter Milan

15 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  1
Inter Milan

30 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Inter Milan

11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
1 :  1
Inter Milan
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W D L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  3
Liverpool

14 Sep 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  0
Venezia

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Turin

13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
3 :  1
Monza

Inter Milan against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

100 %

Draw

0 %

AC Milan

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Inter Milan

16 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  1
AC Milan

16 May 2023 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
AC Milan

10 May 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Feb 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
AC Milan

18 Jan 2023 - Super Cup

AC Milan
0 :  3
Inter Milan
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis

Inter Milan are fourth in the Serie A standings ahead of this weekend, with eight points from four matches. They have two wins and draws each and start this round two points behind leaders Udinese.

The Nerazzurri are coming off a 0-0 draw against Manchester City in the midweek Champions League fixture, a creditable performance against a top European side. They would need that confidence to improve their league fortunes, as Inter drew 1-1 with Monza in their last Serie A match.

Inter have won 13 of their last 16 home Serie A matches.

Both their home wins this season have come to nil, including a comprehensive 4-0 win over Atalanta. AC Milan are tenth in the standings with five points from one win and two draws. They are coming off a 3-1 loss to Liverpool in the Champions League, despite taking a lead in the third minute.

In the league too, AC Milan are struggling for consistency, winning only one of their four league matches this season. That victory has come in their last outing, when they won 4-0 against Venezia. It was a much-needed win for the Rossoneri, as they started the campaign with two draws and one loss. Both the draws have come by a 2-2 scoreline, while the loss was by a 2-1 margin to Parma.

That defeat came on the road for AC Milan, and they have also failed to win in their other away league match, a 2-2 draw at Lazio.

Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - AC Milan! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Inter Milan against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
28
B. Pavard
15
F. Acerbi
95
A. Bastoni
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
20
H. Calhanoglu
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
90
T. Abraham
7
A. Morata
10
R. Leao
14
T. Reijnders
29
Y. Fofana
11
C. Pulisic
19
T. Hernandez
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
22
Emerson
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Midfielder

N. Barella

Forward

T. Buchanan

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

Defender

A. Florenzi

Midfielder

I. Bennacer

A. Saelemaekers

Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Inter Milan’s captain, Lautaro Martinez, started the midweek match against Manchester City on the bench but is likely to start here. He has an impressive record of eight goals in 16 matches against Milan, four of those coming in ten Serie A matches.

Another player set to return for the Nerazzurri is Federico Dimarco, who could get a starting role. The only absentee for Inter is Tajon Buchanan, while Marko Arnautovic remains doubtful but could recover in time for this match.

Thuram has scored in both his Serie A matches against Milan.

The forward has scored four goals in four league matches this season and could get into the record books with another one in this match. Milan won’t have their first-choice goalkeeper,  Mike Maignan, to stop him, as he was forced off with an injury on Tuesday. That could mean a starting role for the 19-year-old teenager Lorenzo Torriani, which may further weaken their chances.

Not just that, the Rossoneri have other injury concerns as well, with Ismael Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, Marco Sportiello, and Malick Thiaw also out of contention with various injuries.

While all those injuries keep them worried, AC Milan will hope that Christian Pulisic will provide the spark. He has two goals and two assists to his name already, making him a key player for the Rossoneri.

Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Inter have won their last six matches against AC Milan in all competitions
  2. Inter have won two of their last three league matches, drawing the other
  3. AC Milan have lost two of their last four competitive matches, winning only one
  4. AC Milan have lost two of their last three designated away league matches, drawing the other
Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - AC Milan! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction

The form book goes out of the window in derbies, keeping fans on the tenterhooks, and Derby della Madonnina is no different. Inter Milan and AC Milan come into this fixture with contrasting forms, but it is the Nerazzurri who have a slight upper hand. They have bossed AC Milan in the recent seasons with six straight wins in all competitions and are definitely strong favorites to continue that run here. AC are also likely to miss their first-choice 'keeper, which puts further pressure on the Rossoneri. That’s why our prediction for Inter Milan vs AC Milan is a win for Inter Milan.

Prediction :

Inter Milan wins the match

Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Marcus Thuram to score anytime

Marcus Thuram has been Inter’s top striker this season, scoring four goals in four league matches. He also had success against AC Milan last year, scoring in both the league derbies. Can he continue that run and score once again here? Back Thuram to score a goal here.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan AC Milan

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Inter Milan wins 1.9 1.7 -10.5%
Draw 3.5 3.9 +11.4%
AC Milan wins 4 5 +25.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Inter Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 58.8% (6.2%)

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

bet365 2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

One of the worst feelings when placing a football bet is when the team that you have backed has gone into a multiple-goal lead only to be clawed back to a draw or to lose the game in question. This is something that bet365 has rectified for their bettors courtesy of this offer. If the team that you backed takes a two-goal lead your bet will be paid out as a winner. That is any two-goal lead so 2-0, 3-1, 4-2 etc will all be paid out early as a winner if your team is in that position. This is available in 80 different competitions including the major leagues across Europe and can be played on the full-time result market. Singles and multiples are both valid for this offer but you cannot bet on enhanced price markets. As with most promotions, if you cash out a bet in full, the bet will no longer be available for the offer in question. It also cannot be used if you bet on the draw on a game.

Register today!

Inter Milan vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions

The Inter Milan vs AC Milan Italian Serie A match is scheduled for a 7:45 pm UK time kick-off on Sunday, September 22, 2024.
The Inter Milan v AC Milan match will take place at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza or San Siro in Milan. This is a venue that these two city rivals share and this match is to be treated as the home match for Inter.

This Inter Milan vs AC Milan Italian Serie A match will be televised live on DAZN in Italy and on TNT Sports 1 in the UK.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Italian Serie A Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - AC Milan! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Please Gamble Responsibly
logo footer