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by Ian John | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Inter Miami host New York Red Bulls in a key Major League Soccer clash on Saturday night. The Herons were dumped out of the CONCACAF Champions League in midweek and will be raring to get back to winning ways here against the Red Bulls. What will our prediction be for a match which now takes on added significance for both teams following Inter’s midweek misfortunes?
Currently, in the Eastern Conference, Inter Miami lie fifth, having played one game fewer than most teams. They have 18 points from nine matches. Their rivals on Saturday, the New York Red Bulls, sit three places below the Herons in eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. They have 15 points from 10 games so far this season.
Last weekend, Inter rested several key players ahead of their midweek CONCACAF Champions League semi-final against Vancouver. However, that decision backfired as not only did they lose their first MLS game of the season, a 4-3 home loss to FC Dallas last weekend, in the week Vancouver won the second leg 3-1, defeating Inter 5-1 on aggregate.
The Red Bulls' form coming into this game is mixed. They have struggled away from home, drawing twice and losing twice in their four road games. However, more recently, they lost 2-1 at home to DC United but bounced back from that last weekend with a 1-0 home win over Montreal Impact.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Miami v New York Red Bulls Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls?
Our prediction for the Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls match is: Lionel Messi to score at anytime.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.31% for a win of Inter Miami against New York Red Bulls with odds of 1.64 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls is 21.12% with odds of 4.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.57% chance ⭐ for a win of New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami with odds of 5.65 at Betwinner.
Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Miami New York Red Bulls Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami wins | 51.31% | 1.64 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.34% | 2.5 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Miami | 26.24% | 5 at Unibet |
Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls Form
Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
42 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
|
10
|
33 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
27 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
9 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
27 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
9 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
6 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
9 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
2 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
16 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Mar 2025 - Concachampions
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
12 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
5 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
19 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
5 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
15 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
1 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
8 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 Feb 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 Dec 2024 - Major League Soccer
30 Nov 2024 - Major League Soccer
Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2024 - Major League Soccer
23 Mar 2024 - Major League Soccer
26 Aug 2023 - Major League Soccer
22 May 2022 - Major League Soccer
9 Oct 2021 - Major League Soccer
17 Sep 2021 - Major League Soccer
Inter Miami against New York Red Bulls Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Callender
MidfielderD. Ruiz
M. Morales
D. Nealis
MidfielderL. Morgan
D. Edelman
ForwardR. Mitchell
S. Ngoma
C. Harper
Most goals and assists
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
L. Messi
(24 Goals)
E. Choupo-Moting
(13 Goals)
L. Suarez
(14 Assists)
O. Valencia
(5 Assists)
, 
E. Forsberg
(5 Assists)
Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls Key Points
- Lionel Messi was rested for Inter Miami's 4-3 home defeat to FC Dallas last weekend.
- Messi is Inter Miami's top scorer this season with three goals in six MLS games and nine in 18 in all competitions.
- Messi averages 0.74 of a goal every 90 minutes for his club this season.
- Last time against NY Red Bulls, Messi contributed five assists (an MLS record) and scored a goal as Inter Miami won 6-2.
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Our Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
Our prediction for the Inter Miami vs. New York Red Bulls MLS match is: Lionel Messi to score at anytime.
Having fallen short in the CONCACAF Champions League in midweek, Inter Miami will be keen to bounce back in the MLS, especially after last week's home loss to FC Dallas. They paid the price for resting many key stars for that game but won't do so here. We expect Messi to play and he has an incredible record against NY Red Bulls, meaning picking him to score at any time is a very good option.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Miami New York Red Bulls
| Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami wins | 1.67 | 1.6 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.2 | +20.0% |
| New York Red Bulls wins | 5.25 | 5 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Miami is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 62.5% (2.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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