South America - Copa Sudamericana
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Independiente del Valle host Atletico Mineiro in this Copa Sudamericana semifinal first leg on Wednesday. The aggregate winner will face either Chilean club Universidad de Chile or Argentinian side Lanus in the final. Can the Black-and-Blues defeat Atletico Mineiro to boost their chances of reaching the final? Here is our prediction for the match.
Independiente del Valle are coming off a dramatic quarterfinal result against Once Caldas. The two-time Copa Sudamericana champions were on the verge of crashing out of the competition after falling 2-0 at home to their Colombian opponents in the first leg. However, they bounced back in the second leg in Colombia, winning 5-4 on penalties after they finished 2-2 on aggregate in regulation time.
They have won three of their last four matches, including a 2-1 win over Orense in their domestic league fixture at the weekend. They have also won two of their three 2025 Copa Sudamericana home matches.
Atletico Mineiro edged out Bolivar 3-2 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. Bernad's stoppage-time strike was all the Comeback Club needed to eliminate the Bolivian club after a 2-2 draw in the first leg.
Meanwhile, Jorge Sampaoli's side have been enduring a rough patch lately. They are without a win in their last two matches, including a 1-0 defeat to Corinthians in the Brazilian Serie A at the weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for CSD Independiente Del Valle v Atletico MG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 3 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.25 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG match is: Independiente del Valle wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Atletico MG in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.19% for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle against Atletico MG with odds of 1.91 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG is 24.09% with odds of 3.32 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 5.4 at Unibet.
CSD Independiente Del Valle - Atletico MG Prediction and Best Odds:
| CSD Independiente Del Valle Atletico MG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Independiente Del Valle wins | 55.19% | 1.91 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.87% | 2.55 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : CSD Independiente Del Valle/CSD Independiente Del Valle | 19.61% | 3 at Bet365 |
CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG Form
CSD Independiente Del Valle and Atletico MG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
13 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
8 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
28 Sep 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
28 Sep 2025 - Liga Pro
17 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Pro
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
8 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Sep 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Sep 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2022 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2022 - Copa Libertadores
CSD Independiente Del Valle against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
CSD Independiente Del Valle
Atletico MG
C. Spinelli
(24 Goals)
Hulk
(7 Goals)
J. Sornoza
(3 Assists)
G. Scarpa
(5 Assists)
,
Hulk
(5 Assists)
CSD Independiente Del Valle - Atletico MG Key Points
- Independiente del Valle have won three of their last four matches.
- Independiente del Valle have won two of their three 2025 Copa Sudamericana home matches.
- Atletico Mineiro have failed to win their last two matches.
- Atletico Mineiro are winless in their last seven away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG Prediction
Independiente del Valle head into this match in high spirits following their spectacular recent form. The Blue-and-Blacks have come from their mettle, having been tested in every stage of their 2025 Copa Sudamericana campaign. They have won two of their home matches in the competition and three of their last four matches.
Conversely, Atletico Mineiro have struggled lately. They are winless in their last two matches and have failed to win each of their last seven away matches. Our Independiente del Valle vs Atletico Mineiro prediction is Independiente del Valle wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CSD Independiente Del Valle Atletico MG
| CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSD Independiente Del Valle wins | 1.95 | 1.9 | -2.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.1 | -4.6% |
| Atletico MG wins | 3.9 | 4.75 | +21.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CSD Independiente Del Valle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 52.6% (1.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the CSD Independiente Del Valle vs. Atletico MG game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Atletico MG? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Copa Sudamericana! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
