Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions
FC Ilves host Shakhtar Donetsk in Finland in the second leg of their Europa League Qualifier, with the Ukrainian visitors leading 6-0 from the first leg. Joonas Rantanen's Ipa are playing more for pride in this second clash of the two teams but Arda Turan's Miners will be hoping to continue their excellent form by wrapping up another victory. Let's check out what our prediction is for this match.
The first leg of the tie was played in Stozice Stadium in Ljubljana, Slovenia and Shakhtar ran out comfortable 6-0 winners. A double from Alisson Santana was added to by single strikes from Kaua Elias, Kevin, Pedrinho and Newerton. Clearly, playing away from their homeland did not affect the rampant Ukrainians who top-scored among all teams taking part in the Europa League Qualifiers last week.
That result may have been a shock for Ilves, who had won two and drawn one of their three games prior to that. To the Finns' credit, they did bounce back on Monday evening, earning a 3-2 win over VPS in the Veikkausliga. That win kept them second in the table behind Inter Turku.
Shakhtar's league season does not start for a few more weeks, but a second-string Shakhtar team faced Slovenian side Brinje in a friendly the day after their first leg victory, earning a comfortable 5-0 away win.
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Ilves v Shakhtar Donetsk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.6 | 4.6 | 1.46 |
|
|
6 | 4.92 | 1.48 |
|
|
6.15 | 4.7 | 1.48 |
|
|
6 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ilves and Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our prediction for the Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk match is: Shakhtar Donetsk to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2025 between Ilves and Shakhtar Donetsk in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.65% for a win of Ilves against Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk is 22.36% with odds of 5.05 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves with odds of 1.5 at Betwinner.
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ilves Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 52.99% | 1.5 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | 2.12 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shakhtar Donetsk | 23.25% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk Form
Ilves and Shakhtar Donetsk Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
5 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
2 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
18 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
2 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
18 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
24 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
21 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
9 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
5 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
14 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
1 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 May 2025 - Suomen Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
18 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Ukraine Cup
27 Apr 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
18 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
9 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
3 May 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
23 Apr 2025 - Ukraine Cup
Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
Players list
F. Krkalic
DefenderV. Kumpu
T. Miettunen
M. Rale
A. Bamba
K. Wallius
MidfielderO. Tiitinen
Y. Raap
ForwardJ. Kanga
T. Hytonen
J. Kilo
K. Fesiun
DefenderV. Bondar
Irakli Azarov
A. Ghram
MidfielderIsaque
Newerton
Y. Nazaryna
O. Ocheretko
M. Gomes
ForwardP. Obah
Luca Meirelles
Substitutes
O. Virtanen
R. Leislahti
DefenderO. Pettersson
A. Raymond
MidfielderJ. Veteli
A. Popovitch
R. Halonen
ForwardS. Syrjanen
R. Riski
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderD. Arroyo
Pedrinho Azevedo
Tobias
MidfielderL. dos Santos Ferreira
D. Kryskiv
M. Shved
A. Bondarenko
ForwardEguinaldo
Pedrinho
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Key Points
- Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in their last eleven games in all competitions (W7 - one on penalties, D4)
- Ilves have scored in seven of their last eight games.
- In their last seven games, Shakhtar have conceded five goals, but have not conceded more than one goal in a game in that run.
- Both teams have scored in four of Ilves' last six games in all competitions.
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Our Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
Our prediction for the Ilves vs. Shakhtar Donetsk Europa League Qualifier 2nd Leg is: Shakhtar Donetsk to win and both teams to score.
After a 6-0 win in the first leg, Shakhtar are in no danger of being knocked out of this competition, but they will want to finish off the tie strongly. Their recent form is good, and the way they outclassed their Finnish opponents in the first leg suggests that they should be confident of another victory, but data suggests Ilves will get a consolation.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ilves Shakhtar Donetsk
| Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves wins | 4.4 | 6.5 | +47.7% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 5.05 | +20.2% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 1.72 | 1.5 | -12.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shakhtar Donetsk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 66.7% (8.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
