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Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC n°317

UFC - UFC n°317

Ilia Topuria
28/06/2025 21:00
Charles Oliveira

Prediction :

 

Ilia Topuria wins the match

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in UFC Predictions

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas this weekend for UFC 317, headlined by Ilia Topuria taking on Charles Oliveira for the vacant lightweight title. El Matador has a pro record of 16-0-0, while Do Bronx is 35-10-0 1NC. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Having dominated the featherweight division, Ilia Topuria is now taking the step up to lightweight and his first fight at 155 pounds will be for the title vacated by Islam Makhachev. 

El Matador is returning to the Octagon for the first time since October last year, where he successfully defended the featherweight title by beating Max Holloway by KO/TKO. 

Topuria has never tasted defeat in his pro career and is on an eight-match win streak in the UFC, with six of those victories coming by way of stoppage (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission).

Meanwhile, Charles Oliveira needs little introduction. He has fought the elite across two divisions and held this title two years ago, but was beaten for it by Makhachev at UFC 280. 

Since that defeat, Do Brox has had three fights, beating Beneil Dariush by KO and Michael Chandler by unanimous decision, either side of a split decision loss to Arman Tsarukyan. 

In terms of the tale of the tape, Oliveira has significant advantages in both the height and reach categories, but he is seven years older than his opponent. 

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Ilia Topuria - Charles Oliveira Key Points

  1. Ilia Topuria has never lost a pro fight.
  2. Five of Ilia Topuria’s eight fights in the UFC have ended in KO/TKO.
  3. Ilia Topuria has a 92% takedown defence.
  4. Charles Oliveira has lost two of his last four fights.
  5. Charles Oliveira has only won two of his last nine fights by KO/TKO.
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Our Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira Prediction

Topuria has built his reputation as one of the hardest-hitting fighters around and will likely look to keep this match on the feet for as long as possible, which will allow him to pick apart his opponent with combinations. 

Oliveira is expected to look for submission opportunities, but the major issue is that his opponent has a remarkable 92% takedown defence and can certainly hold his own even if the fight goes to the mat. Therefore, our Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira prediction is Ilia Topuria wins the match. 

Prediction :

 

Ilia Topuria wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira Prediction
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