Iceland vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
26/09/2026 12:00
Estonia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Estonia has been gathering momentum in recent matches and will get to test themselves against a struggling Iceland. The two sides start their journey in League C in Iceland. Both nations haven’t been superb in attack, and in our prediction we will back this to produce under three goals.

Iceland have been struggling lately, and they carry here a six-game winless run. In their last outing in June, they were thrashed 3-0 by the former world champions, Argentina.

That also marked the fourth time they failed to score, an area they will be hard pressed to address. Having won three of seven meetings with Estonia, Iceland will be confident coming into this match.

This match marks the first-ever competitive meeting between these two nations. Estonia have only managed to win one of the seven matches, and that was way back in 2002.

That encounter ended in a 2-0 victory and accounts for half of the goals Estonia have ever scored in this fixture. In recent matches, the visitors have been picking up well, and they come here having only lost once in their last five matches.

Three of those were wins, and in the latest two they kept clean sheets. They are still struggling in attack, though, having scored more than a goal in just one of the last 10 games.

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Iceland v Estonia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.26 5.6 9.6
1xbet
1.3 5.71 11.6
Melbet
1.28 5.55 11
Betwinner
1.28 5.55 11
22bet
1.28 5.55 11
Check all Iceland vs Estonia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Iceland and Estonia?

Our prediction for the Iceland vs Estonia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between Iceland and Estonia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.85% for a win of Iceland against Estonia with odds of 1.31 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Iceland vs Estonia is 24.06% with odds of 5.75 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Iceland with odds of 11.6 at 1xbet.

Iceland vs Estonia Form

Iceland and Estonia Last Matches

Iceland
Iceland Last matches
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland

25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iceland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  3
Kosovo

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  4
Turkiye

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  2
Wales
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland

25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iceland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland
Estonia
Estonia Last matches
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Kenya
1 :  1
Estonia

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  1
Moldova

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Estonia
0 :  0
Andorra

9 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
0 :  1
Norway
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Kenya
1 :  1
Estonia

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
2 :  3
Estonia
Iceland vs Estonia Prediction

Players list

Iceland
Iceland
Goalkeeper

E. Olafsson

Defender

H. Magnusson

D. Gretarsson

V. Palsson

L. Tomasson

Midfielder

H. Haraldsson

I. Johanneson

A. Baldursson

Forward

O. Oskarsson

A. Gudmundsson

M. Ellertsson

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

K. Hein

Defender

M. Kolobov

M. Kuusk

E. Tougjas

Midfielder

V. Kreida

V. Sinyavskiy

P. Kristal

M. Soomets

R. Shein

Forward

R. Saarma

T. Varjund

Substitutes

Iceland
Iceland
Goalkeeper

A. Einarsson

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

H. Hermannsson

Midfielder

K. Hlynsson

G. Gottskalk Thordarson

G. Sigurdsson

J. Thorsteinsson

A. Sigurdsson

D. Thorhallsson

A. Gunnarsson

Forward

D. Gudjohnsen

K. Ingason

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

H. Perk

K. Kivila

Defender

F. Liivak

R. Peetson

K. Hussar

T. Tammik

Midfielder

K. Kait

M. Miller

M. Kait

I. Yakovlev

M. Poom

K. Palumets

Forward

M. Mannilaan

K. Mustmaa

Iceland - Estonia Key Points

  1. Estonia scored more than once in just one of their last 10 games.
  2. Estonia’s last four matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. Only seven goals were scored in these teams’ last five meetings.
  4. Iceland failed to score in four of their last six matches.
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Our Iceland vs Estonia Prediction

Iceland should be going into this encounter as the favorites but have had a poor run in the Nations League. Part of their troubles was occasioned by a poor scoring run, which they also carry here.

In their last two matches the hosts here failed to score, leaving them with an average of 0.5 goals per game in the last six outings. They meet an Estonia side that’s equally struggling in attack, and we could see a low-scoring encounter here. Our prediction for Iceland v Estonia is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.