Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Southampton were due to be playing in this Championship play-off final but have been disqualified for spying.on their semi-final opponents Middlesbrough. Boro have been reinstated and now take on Hull City in an evenly matched final at Wembley. Our prediction is an exciting game with both teams scoring.
Middlesbrough believed their dream of returning to the Premier League was over for another season. They were beaten in the semi-finals by the Saints but then the Spygate scandal was revealed. Now they are back in with a chance of promotion which looked unlikely after a disappointing end to the season.
Hull City had to win their last match of the main season to qualify for the play-offs. The Tigers then beat Millwall in the play-off semi-finals and have this chance to return to the Premier League for the first time since 2017. Can they cope with all the upheaval caused by seeing their opponents changed this week?
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Hull v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.3 | 3.55 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.32 | 3.42 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.24 | 3.5 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.3 | 1.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hull and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Hull vs Middlesbrough match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between Hull and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.19% for a win of Hull against Middlesbrough with odds of 4.32 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hull vs Middlesbrough is 45.77% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Hull with odds of 1.93 at Shangrila.
Hull - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hull Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 45.77% | 3.55 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.35% | 2.22 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 25.58% | 4.8 at LSbet |
Hull vs Middlesbrough Form
Hull and Middlesbrough Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Championship
8 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Championship
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - Championship
9 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
22 Apr 2026 - Championship
19 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Championship
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
22 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
19 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
Hull vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2023 - Championship
Hull - Middlesbrough: Form Analysis
Just like their opponents, Middlesbrough last played in the Premier League in the 2016-17 season. This term has seen them challenging for promotion throughout but they slipped down from the top two, eventually finishing fifth in the Championship,
Can Boro make the most of their reprieve?
They were four points behind the final automatic promotion place but eight above Hull City. Boro only earned 19 points from their last 15 league fixtures and then lost to Southampton 2-1 in the play-off semi-final. They have gone three games without a win, drawing two of those matches.
Three of their last four matches have seen both teams score and that stat has come up in six out of nine.. Ten of their last 12 away fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. They lost 1-0 at home to Hull last December but Boro had won the three previous fixtures. Both teams have scored in six of their last eight meetings.
Hull City just pipped Wrexham for a place in these play-offs. The Tigers won on the last day to clinch sixth place in the table. That took them into a play-off semi-final against Millwall and after a goalless draw at home in the first leg, they beat the Lions 2-0 away from home..
City are unbeaten in their last three games but before that final day win over Norwich City, they had gone six games without a victory. The win at Millwall is their only away win in six matches. Five of their last seven games have seen both teams score.
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Hull against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Phillips
DefenderC. Drameh
P. McNair
K. Dowell
A. Hadziahmetovic
L. Koumas
J. Lundstram
Y. Hirakawa
J. Gelhardt
J. Wildsmith
DefenderG. Edmundson
MidfielderH. Hackney
A. Gilbert
L. Castledine
ForwardC. Ibeh
J. Sarmiento
S. Hansen
S. Silvera
Missing players
C. McCarthy
MidfielderD. Akintola
E. Matazo
N. Tinsdale
A. Jones
Hull & Middlesbrough Squad Analysis
It's been a strange week for both of these clubs. Hull City had been preparing for a final against Southampton before the Saints were disqualified. Middlesbrough thought their season was over but like a lucky loser in tennis, here they are facing their biggest match of the season.
Middlesbrough's form in the final part of the season has not been that of a promotion-winning team. For the last ten games of the main season, they were down at 16th in the form table. Hull were only 12th though so you can see the two sides are closely matched at present.
Tommy Conway will be missing this game but Hayden Hackney is expected to be back.
Massive improvement by the Tigers this season.
Hull City only finished a place above the relegation zone last season. This term has been a revelation for them and the Tigers have Oli McBurnie to thank for their improvement. He's scored 17 league goals this season and also made seven assists.
Boro will also need to keep an eye on Joe Gelhardt who has 15 league goals to his name He had gone four without a goal before scoring in the second leg of their play-off semi-final at Millwall. They are possiblyle going to be without Kyle Joseph for this match.
Most goals and assists
Hull
Middlesbrough
O. McBurnie
(18 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
O. McBurnie
(8 Assists)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
Hull - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Both teams have scored in five of the last seven Hull City games.
- Six of the last eight games played between these two clubs saw both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Six of Middlesbrough's last nine games have seen both teams score.
- Ten of the last 12 Middlesbrough games have seen both teams score, including each of the last four.
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Our Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction
This is considered to be the most valuable game in football. The winners will be promoted to the Premier League but this isn't the final we were expecting to see. Hull City thought it's be Southampton that they would be facing on Saturday but then the scandal broke and in came Middlesbrough.
Neither of these two clubs ended the season in great form. Hull struggled to clinch sixth place but did well to get past Millwall in the semi-finals. Middlesbrough were in contention for automatic promotion but only finished fifth. Our main Hull v Middlesbrough prediction is BTTS.
Hull vs Middlesbrough Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hull Middlesbrough
| Hull vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull wins | 4.34 | 4.32 | -0.5% |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.55 | +0.3% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.85 | 1.93 | +4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.2% and is now 28.2% (-0.1%)
Hull vs Middlesbrough - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
