Hull vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions
Matchday 34 in the English Championship sees fifth-place Hull City hosting eighth-placed Derby County. The Tigers have racked up 54 points so far while the Rams are six points behind them on 48. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s been a brilliant season for Hull City so far, who survived relegation last season by the skin of their teeth and now find themselves battling for a promotion playoff position.
The goal for the rest of the campaign will be to consolidate their spot in the top six, where they currently find themselves holding a five-point lead over seventh-place Birmingham City. The last appearance for Hull saw them fall to a disappointing 3-1 home defeat to QPR, extending their winless run to four games across all competitions (D1, L3).
Derby, to their credit, have also undergone a transformation this season. They finished the 2024-25 campaign in 19th place on 50 points, just one point above the bottom three.
They’ve already almost matched that points total and still have 13 matches remaining on the fixture list. Last time out, the Rams were beaten 2-0 away against Watford, marking their second loss in the last three matches.
Derby have been one of the top-performing away sides in the Championship. They’ve averaged 1.69 points earned per away contest, the second-highest total in the division (behind only Hull’s average of 1.80).
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Hull v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.42 | 3.3 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.28 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hull and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Hull vs Derby County match is: draw or Derby County.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/02/2026 between Hull and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.19% for a win of Hull against Derby County with odds of 2.55 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hull vs Derby County is 25.17% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Hull with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
Hull - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hull Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 45.64% | 3.1 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.88% | 2.01 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 17.01% | 7 at Bet365 |
Hull vs Derby County Form
Hull and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
73 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 |
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
Hull and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
Hull vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
8 Sept 2017 - Championship
Hull against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Phillips
DefenderA. Famewo
C. Drameh
C. McCarthy
P. McNair
L. Koumas
K. Dowell
M. Crooks
J. Lundstram
R. O'Donnell
DefenderD. Sanderson
I. Gordon
MidfielderJ. Ward
O. Fraulo
C. Allen
O. Eames
ForwardR. Brewster
C. Morris
Missing players
D. Akintola
N. Tinsdale
Most goals and assists
Hull
Derby County
O. McBurnie
(18 Goals)
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
O. McBurnie
(8 Assists)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
Hull - Derby County Key Points
- Derby have lost only 18 of 50 matches since manager John Eustace took charge.
- Hull City are winless in their last four across all competitions, losing the last three.
- Derby have lost only twice in their last seven games.
- The visitors have the second best away record in the Championship at 8-3-5.
- Hull have lost their last two meetings with Derby, including a 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture.
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Our Hull vs Derby County Prediction
Derby have enjoyed a lot of success over Hull City in recent years, with the Tigers’ last win coming back in 2019. This presents an interesting matchup as these are two sides which tend to thrive when playing away from home.
Hull City’s recent form is concerning, especially on the defensive end where they’ve conceded 10 goals in the last three matches. Derby, meanwhile, has racked up three wins in their last four away trips. We’ll back them to avoid defeat here. Our Hull City vs Derby County prediction is draw or Derby County.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hull Derby County
| Hull vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull wins | 2.2 | 2.55 | +15.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Derby County wins | 3.3 | 3.1 | -6.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 32.3% (2.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Hull vs. Derby County game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
