Hull vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
Friday’s FA Cup fourth round action kicks off at the MKM Stadium with Hull City taking on Chelsea. The Tigers have never won the FA Cup, while the Blues have lifted the trophy eight times. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Hull City are featuring in Round 4 of the FA Cup for a second successive season. They booked their spot in this round by defeating Blackburn Rovers on penalties after playing to a goalless draw in R3.
The Tigers suffered an unexpected 3-2 loss to Bristol City in the Championship last weekend, which brought an end to their six-match unbeaten run and saw them slip to fourth in the league standings.
The hosts have a mixed home record of late (W5 D1 L4) in their last 10 across all competitions. They have not beaten Chelsea in their last 13 encounters.
Meanwhile, Chelsea have featured in five FA Cup finals over the last decade and got up and running this season with a comfortable 5-1 victory over Charlton Athletic last month.
The Blues were held to a 2-2 draw by Leeds in the EPL in midweek. That was the first points the team has dropped in the top flight since Liam Rosenior was appointed manager last month.
The visitors have won four of their last five away games in all competitions, and also won their last four at this venue, scoring two or more goals in each of those victories.
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Hull v Chelsea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 6.8 | 1.21 |
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13.5 | 6.85 | 1.18 |
|
|
11.5 | 6.2 | 1.22 |
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13 | 7 | 1.17 |
|
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12 | 7.2 | 1.23 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hull and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Hull vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/02/2026 between Hull and Chelsea in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.54% for a win of Hull against Chelsea with odds of 13.5 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hull vs Chelsea is 14.56% with odds of 7.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Hull with odds of 1.25 at Shangrila.
Hull - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hull Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 58.89% | 1.25 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.17% | |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea | 26.99% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Hull vs Chelsea Form
Hull and Chelsea Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Hull vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2020 - FA Cup
16 Feb 2018 - FA Cup
22 Jan 2017 - Premier League
1 Oct 2016 - Premier League
Hull against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Pandur
DefenderC. Drameh
M. Jacobs
A. Famewo
MidfielderN. Tinsdale
K. Dowell
J. Lundstram
J. Gelhardt
K. Joseph
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderM. Gusto
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
B. Badiashile
MidfielderJ. Derry
E. Fernandez
Joao Pedro
S. Mheuka
Missing players
S. Ajayi
MidfielderE. Matazo
ForwardM. Belloumi
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
J. Gittens
Hull - Chelsea Key Points
- Four of Hull’s last six games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Chelsea’s last six games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in each of their last four games at this venue.
- Chelsea have scored three or more goals in four of their last five away matches in all competitions.
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Our Hull vs Chelsea Prediction
Despite losing to Bristol last weekend, Hull City are having a strong league campaign, but they now face their toughest assignment of the season - one of the top five teams in the Premier League.
Chelsea are expectedly installed as big favourites here and rightfully so given their recent goal-scoring record. The Blues have won on their last four visits to this venue, and we’re expecting them to secure a fairly comfortable victory in this one as well. Our Hull vs Chelsea prediction is Chelsea wins & over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hull Chelsea
| Hull vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull wins | 8.65 | 13.5 | +56.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 7.4 | +48.0% |
| Chelsea wins | 1.31 | 1.25 | -4.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 80.0% (3.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Hull vs. Chelsea game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Hull and Chelsea when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on FA Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
