Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Houston Rockets will play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Toyota Center in the NBA on Thursday night. The Rockets (33-22) are third in the Western Conference standings, while the Dubs (31-30) are eighth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Houston Rockets are enjoying a nice run of form, now 7-3 in their last 10 games after edging the Washington Wizards 123-118 on Monday night - their fourth win in five.
Alperen Sengun led the team with 32 points. The Rockets are ranked top 10 in both defensive and offensive efficiency and lead the league in rebounds despite the absence of Steven Adams.
Houston have been excellent at home this season, with 20 wins and seven losses at the Toyota Center. They beat the Warriors 104-100 in their only previous match this season in November.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have not been in the best form of late and suffered their eighth loss in 12 games on Monday, going down 114-101 to the LA Clippers.
Injuries have played a significant role in the Dubs’ decline over this stretch, and their defence has struggled to compensate for the team's shortcomings at the other end of the court.
GSW are 12-17 on the road and will be missing both Curry brothers, Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody and Will Richard for this match.
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Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.24 | 4.1 |
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1.23 | 4.1 |
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1.29 | 3.75 |
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1.24 | 4.1 |
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|
1.26 | 3.4 |
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Who will win the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors match is: under 220.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors game on 05/03/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Houston Rockets has a 61.98% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
- There is a probability of 38.02% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Houston Rockets with odds of 4.1 at Roobet.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Form
Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 1 |
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 |
Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
2 Mar 2026 - NBA
28 Feb 2026 - NBA
26 Feb 2026 - NBA
21 Feb 2026 - NBA
19 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
2 Mar 2026 - NBA
28 Feb 2026 - NBA
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
22 Feb 2026 - NBA
19 Feb 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
2 Mar 2026 - NBA
28 Feb 2026 - NBA
22 Feb 2026 - NBA
19 Feb 2026 - NBA
11 Feb 2026 - NBA
9 Feb 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Feb 2026 - NBA
24 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
5 Feb 2026 - NBA
28 Jan 2026 - NBA
26 Jan 2026 - NBA
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
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Players list
A. Thompson
T. Eason
J. Smith
K. Durant
B. Podziemski
D. Melton
G. Santos
D. Green
Substitutes
A. Holiday
J. Okogie
R. Sheppard
J. Green
I. Crawford
D. Finney-Smith
M. Moody
L. Cryer
W. Richard
P. Spencer
G. Payton II
M. Leons
Houston Rockets - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- Twelve of the Rockets’ last 18 games have gone under the total points line.
- The Rockets are averaging 107.0 PPG against in home games this season.
- The Warriors' last eight away games when installed as underdogs have gone under the total points line.
- The Warriors are averaging 112.7 PPG on the road this season.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Rockets have been excellent at home this season and enter this match as big favourites, but they have shortened their rotation in recent games and will be missing Steven Adams and Fred VanVleet, while Amen Thompson and Sengun are questionable.
The Warriors' offence has struggled massively without Curry, Butler and Porzingis, and given the absences for both teams in this match, we feel that they will prioritise defence to get the result. Therefore, our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors prediction is under 220.5.
If your team in the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
