Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
12/04/2025 09:30
St. Pauli

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

A Northern derby between two relegation-threatened sides will play out in Bundesliga matchday 29 as Holstein Kiel welcome St. Pauli on Saturday. This match at Holstein-Stadion between the basement club Die Storche and the 15th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.

Holstein’s 18 points put them rooted to the bottom of the points tally, eight points adrift of automatic safety. That position is held by St. Pauli, whose 26 points give them a four-point advantage over the relegation zone.

Holstein held Mainz to a 1-1 away draw in the last matchday for their fifth point in five league matches. They remain a dreadful defensive side, as no team has conceded more than their 68 goals.

The challenge is to improve their home form, as they have two draws and losses each in their last four league matches here.

That gives last season’s second division champions St. Pauli a chance to replicate their 3-1 win from the reverse fixture. The visitors are coming off a 1-1 home draw against Monchengladbach last weekend. That result meant they could win just one of their last nine Bundesliga fixtures.

This sequence has also hurt them on the road, as St Pauli were beaten in three of their last four away league matches.

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Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Form

Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 St. Pauli
32 34 8 8 18 -13
17 Holstein Kiel
25 34 6 7 21 -31

Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli Last Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel Last matches
L W D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Werder Bremen

16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Stuttgart

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Holstein Kiel

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Werder Bremen

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Bochum

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  3
Hoffenheim

14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Holstein Kiel

24 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  2
Holstein Kiel
St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
L L D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Mönchengladbach

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
St. Pauli

14 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  0
Hoffenheim

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
St. Pauli

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
St. Pauli
W D L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Mönchengladbach

14 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  0
Hoffenheim

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Augsburg

26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  0
Union Berlin
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
St. Pauli

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
St. Pauli

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
St. Pauli

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
St. Pauli

15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
1 :  0
St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Holstein Kiel

0 %

Draw

0 %

St. Pauli

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
3.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

29 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

23 Feb 2024 - 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
3 :  4
St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11

Holstein Kiel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

21
T. Dahne
17
T. Becker
6
M. Ivezic
3
M. Komenda
23
L. Rosenboom
24
M. Knudsen
22
N. Remberg
47
J. Tolkin
37
A. Gigovic
11
A. Bernhardsson
18
S. Machino
26
E. Saad
10
D. Sinani
17
O. Afolayan
23
P. Treu
8
E. Smith
7
J. Irvine
2
M. Saliakas
25
A. Dzwigala
5
H. Wahl
4
D. Nemeth
22
N. Vasilj

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

St. Pauli

Substitutes

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Goalkeeper

T. Weiner

Defender

M. Geschwill

M. Komenda 68'

D. Javorcek

C. Johansson

Midfielder

F. Porath

T. Becker 46'

M. Schulz

M. Knudsen 76'

Forward

S. Skrzybski

A. Gigovic 83'

F. Arp

P. Harres

S. Machino 68'

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

S. Van Der Heyden

A. Dzwigala 64'

Midfielder

C. Boukhalfa

C. Metcalfe

D. Sinani 87'

N. Weisshaupt

O. Afolayan 60'

E. Ahlstrand

Forward

M. Guilavogui

E. Saad 46'

A. Ceesay

J. Eggestein

Missing players

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Defender

I. Nekic

Midfielder

P. Erras

A. Kelati

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Defender

K. Mets

Midfielder

J. Sands

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Holstein Kiel
CD Huachipato St. Pauli
Top Goalscorer
Japan S. Machino (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea M. Guilavogui (6 Goals)
Best assists
Germany F. Porath (3 Assists)
Germany S. Skrzybski (3 Assists)
Japan S. Machino (3 Assists)
Best assists
Australia J. Irvine (5 Assists)

Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli Key Points

  1. Holstein Kiel’s matches average 3.82 goals per match this season and only Bayern have averaged higher.
  2. In six of Holstein’s last seven home league matches, at least three goals were scored.
  3. St. Pauli conceded at least two goals in three of their last four away league matches.
  4. The last four league matches over Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga between these sides produced at least six goals.
  5. That includes a 3-1 win for St. Pauli in the reverse fixture.
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Our Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction

Both promoted sides Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli need a win here to stay in the race to achieve Bundesliga safety. Last year’s second division champions St. Pauli have scored the fewest goals (23) in this year’s Bundesliga, but they have struggled in recent league trips. Holstein have conceded the most goals (68) in this year’s campaign, and their matches have usually been full of action. Even the reverse fixture was full of goals, and our Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction