Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim will look to continue their Bundesliga top-four push when they face relegation strugglers St Pauli at home in matchday 24. This match on Saturday between the third-placed Kraichgauers and the 16th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals scored.
Before this round, the hosts have 46 points (W14, D4, L5) and are three points above fourth and six points behind second. The visiting St Pauli have 20 points (W5, D5, L13) and are only in the relegation zone on goal difference, although just a point above 17th.
A 2-2 away draw at Koln meant Hoffenheim dropped points just two times in their last eight Bundesliga matches (W6, D1, L1). The only defeat in that sequence came against leaders Bayern Munich.
It’s their strong home form that’s driving Hoffenheim’s top-four push, as the hosts have won their last eight Bundesliga matches at this venue, while scoring 25 goals in the process.
St Pauli defeated Werder 2-1 at home last matchday to make it two wins in their last three Bundesliga matches (L1). They are still not out of danger, though, and are chasing consecutive league wins for just the second time this season.
Their away form gives no comfort, as St Pauli lost nine of their last 11 away league games, including four in a row.
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Hoffenheim v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.49 | 4.7 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.64 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.64 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.6 | 6.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli match is: Hoffenheim wins and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Hoffenheim and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.29% for a win of Hoffenheim against St. Pauli with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli is 15.02% with odds of 4.83 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.69% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim with odds of 6.96 at 888Starz.
Hoffenheim - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 72.29% | 1.51 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.06% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.04% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Hoffenheim/Hoffenheim | 36.78% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Form
Hoffenheim and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
Hoffenheim and St. Pauli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderV. Gendrey
Bernardo
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderA. Prass
C. Campbell
M. Damar
ForwardT. Lemperle
Y. Eduardo
B. Voll
DefenderJ. Robatsch
A. Dzwigala
L. Ritzka
C. Metcalfe
L. Oppie
ForwardA. Ceesay
T. Hara
M. Kaars
Missing players
K. Machida
ForwardA. Hlozek
D. Nemeth
T. Ando
MidfielderR. Jade-Jones
ForwardA. Hountondji
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
D. Sinani
(5 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
Hoffenheim - St. Pauli Key Points
- Hoffenheim’s matches average 3.43 goals per match this season and only three teams averaged more.
- Hoffenheim scored 3+ goals in seven of their last eight home league matches.
- Hoffenheim won their last eight home Bundesliga matches.
- St Pauli’s last five competitive matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- St Pauli were beaten in their last five away competitive matches, each producing three or more goals.
- Hoffenheim won the reverse fixture 3-0 when the sides met in October.
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Our Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction
Hoffenheim are going strong in their top-four chase and are frontrunners in third position. Six wins from their last eight league games is impressive enough, and it gets better at home, where they have eight wins in a row. St Pauli start this round in the relegation zone, although only goal difference separates them from safety. That doesn’t change the fact that they have been poor on the road.
Goals could flow in this game, and that’s why our Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli prediction is Hoffenheim wins and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim St. Pauli
| Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.56 | 1.51 | -3.2% |
| Draw | 4.42 | 4.83 | +9.3% |
| St. Pauli wins | 6.8 | 6.96 | +2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 66.2% (2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
