Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg will hope to extend their impressive record against Hoffenheim as the sides meet on Saturday in a Bundesliga matchday 22. This match in Sinsheim between the third-placed Blues and the seventh-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
With 30 points from 21 matches (W8, D6, L7), the hosts are six points adrift of the European qualification places. Hoffenheim’s 42 points (W13, D3, L5) put them six points behind second and three points above fourth.
Hoffenheim lost 5-1 away at Bayern Munich last weekend, ending a run of five consecutive wins in the league. They are still in control of their top-four hopes, although another defeat here will complicate matters.
Playing at home almost makes Hoffenheim invincible, as Hoffenheim have won their last seven Bundesliga matches played here. Six of those have seen them score at least three goals, so the wins have been comprehensive as well.
Freiburg edged Werder 1-0 at home last weekend to make it four wins from their last seven Bundesliga matches (D1, L2). They are still with an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, although results need to be consistent.
That would also need them to improve their away form, as Freiburg have won just one of their last nine Bundesliga trips (D3, L5), including four defeats in their last six away games.
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Hoffenheim v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.72 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.68 | 4 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.96 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Freiburg match is: Hoffenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Hoffenheim and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.41% for a win of Hoffenheim against Freiburg with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Freiburg is 19.07% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Hoffenheim with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
Hoffenheim - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 59.41% | 1.78 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.62% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 27.02% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Form
Hoffenheim and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
Hoffenheim and Freiburg Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderV. Gendrey
K. Frees
MidfielderV. Lassig
A. Prass
L. Duric
M. Damar
ForwardI. Bebou
M. Moerstedt
F. Muller
DefenderM. Rosenfelder
J. Makengo
A. Jung
K. Steinmann
MidfielderJ. Beste
N. Hofler
V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
Missing players
K. Machida
ForwardA. Hlozek
T. Lemperle
L. Kubler
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
Hoffenheim - Freiburg Key Points
- Hoffenheim have won five of their last six league games.
- Hoffenheim have won their last seven home Bundesliga games.
- Freiburg lost four of their last six away league matches.
- Freiburg failed to score in five of their last nine away league games.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction
Freiburg have troubled Hoffenheim in recent years, drawing 1-1 in the reverse fixture and avoiding defeat in their last nine competitive games against them (W6, D3). That said, Hoffenheim will back their home form, having won seven consecutive league matches at this venue. Even their overall form is impressive, winning five of their last six Bundesliga fixtures, with their only defeat coming against leaders Bayern Munich.
This could be Hoffenheim’s chance to end their recent Freiburg hoodoo, banking on their home, and our Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction is Hoffenheim wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Freiburg
| Hoffenheim vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.75 | 1.78 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 4.21 | 4.2 | -0.2% |
| Freiburg wins | 4.87 | 4.9 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 56.2% (-1.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
