Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to bounce back from last week’s defeat as they look to crush Hoffenheim’s hopes of finishing in the Bundesliga top four when the sides meet on matchday 30. This match in Sinsheim between the 6th-placed ‘Kraichgauers’ and the 2nd-placed ‘Prussians’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
Hoffenheim’s 51 points (W15, D6, L8) put them one point behind fifth and five points behind the top four. Dortmund’s 64 points (W19, D7, L3) give them an eight-point lead against third but a 12-point deficit to leaders Bayern Munich.
A 2-2 away draw at Augsburg last matchday extended Hoffenheim’s search for a Bundesliga win (D2, L2). This run has come at a wrong time for the hosts, who were looking to get into the top four reckoning.
There’s still hope and time for the Kraichgauers, who have eight wins from their last 11 Bundesliga home games. However, the three failures to win (D1, L2) have come in their most recent fixtures.
Dortmund were beaten 1-0 at home by Leverkusen last weekend to halt their four-match winning sequence in the league. They are still well-placed to finish second, if not in the top four.
It’s their away form that makes Dortmund slight favourites to edge this game. They have four wins from their last four Bundesliga trips (D1), dropping points only at Leipzig.
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Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.47 | 3.9 | 2.65 |
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2.25 | 3.86 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.8 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.9 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.8 | 2.86 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.84% for a win of Hoffenheim against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.53 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund is 18.73% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim with odds of 3 at Shangrila.
Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 48.42% | 3 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.38% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 18.18% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2023 - DFB Pokal
29 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderR. Hranac
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderA. Prass
G. Promel
M. Damar
C. Campbell
ForwardI. Bebou
M. Moerstedt
A. Meyer
DefenderR. Bensebaini
Y. Couto
F. Mane
MidfielderS. Ozcan
J. Brandt
S. Inacio
S. Guirassy
M. Albert
Missing players
K. Machida
V. Gendrey
ForwardA. Hlozek
E. Can
F. Nmecha
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Dortmund won their last two Bundesliga matches against Hoffenheim.
- Dortmund have won eight of their last 12 competitive matches.
- Dortmund won 10 of their last 13 Bundesliga games.
- Hoffenheim lost two of their last three league games.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Dortmund have four wins from their last five away league games, which should give them confidence of bouncing back from a defeat last matchday. Hoffenheim won’t be a pushover, considering their own need of a win, as they look to remain in the top four race. The hosts need to arrest their sliding fortunes at home, where they are winless in three games, while Dortmund have an impressive away record.
The visitors have a good record against Hoffenheim in recent games, and our Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
| Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 2.89 | 2.53 | -12.5% |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4 | -0.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 2.38 | 3 | +26.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 26.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 33.3% (-8.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
