Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim's impressive home record could be put under strain by a dodgy Mainz, as the sides meet in matchday 28 of the Bundesliga campaign on Saturday. This match in Sinsheim between the fifth-placed 'Kraichgauers' and the 11th-placed '05ers' comes with our prediction of a draw or an away win.
The hosts have 50 points ahead of this matchday (W15, D5, L7) and are outside the top four only on goal difference while being four points above sixth. Mainz's tally of 30 points (W7, D9, L11) sees them start this round six points above the relegation zone.
Hoffenheim were thrashed 5-0 away at Leipzig before the international break, a result they want to forget in a hurry. Recent results remain a concern, as the hosts could win just two of their last seven league games (D2, L3).
Their home form is still incredibly strong, as Hoffenheim have eight wins from their last ten home Bundesliga matches (D1, L1).
Mainz won 2-1 at home against Eintracht Frankfurt to go into the international break with three wins on the bounce in all competitions. They have an upcoming Conference League quarter-final to plan for, but league survival still remains top priority.
The challenge is to improve on the road, although Mainz have avoided defeat in five of their last seven away Bundesliga games (W2, D3).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Hoffenheim v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 4 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: draw or 1 Fsv Mainz 05.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Hoffenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.4% for a win of Hoffenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.91 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 27.68% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.92% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim with odds of 4.7 at Stake.
Hoffenheim - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 43.4% | 1.91 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.55% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 16.4% | 5 at LSbet |
Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Hoffenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Hoffenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderR. Hranac
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderC. Campbell
M. Damar
L. Avdullahu
M. Moerstedt
A. Kramaric
I. Bebou
L. Riess
DefenderK. Potulski
M. Leitsch
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
Missing players
K. Machida
V. Gendrey
ForwardA. Hlozek
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche Olsen
A. Caci
MidfielderN. Amiri
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
1 Fsv Mainz 05
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Hoffenheim - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Hoffenheim could win just two of their last seven Bundesliga games.
- Mainz are unbeaten in their last seven competitive matches.
- Away from home, Mainz have avoided defeat in seven of their last nine competitive matches.
- Mainz avoided defeat in five of their last six Bundesliga matches against Hoffenheim.
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Our Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Hoffenheim are locked in a tight battle for Champions League qualification spots. In this context, their loss of form in recent weeks is a concern, as they could win only two of their last seven Bundesliga matches. Mainz have a Conference League quarter-final first leg to look forward to, but Bundesliga survival could take precedence. They have firmed up the results lately and will fancy getting at least a point here.
Backing the recent historical trend in this fixture, our Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is draw or 1 Fsv Mainz 05.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.71 | 1.91 | +11.7% |
| Draw | 4.27 | 4.1 | -4.0% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 5.13 | 4.7 | -8.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.5% and is now 52.4% (-6.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
