HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Conference League Predictions
Celje and HNK Rijeka will both seek to bounce back in Europe when they face off in the fifth round of the Conference League. Heading into this match, hosts Rijeka occupy the 24th spot, while Celje are third. Read on for our prediction.
Rijeka have been doing well domestically and will hope to carry this run of form to Europe. They are coming off a 3-1 win at home to Vukovar and have now scored 13 times in the last five matches.
The only time they failed to score in that period was in the Conference League. After a losing start in the league phase, Rijeka upset Sparta Prague on matchday two but couldn’t build on that. They drew their latest two Conference League games.
Celje will have a reason to be concerned about their hosts’ form. The two haven't met competitively before, but Rijeka has won six of their seven friendly matches to date.
Heading into this game, the Slovenians will be looking to leverage their impressive start to the league stage as well as recent form.
They are coming from a 4-1 win at home against Primorje, ending a three-game winless run, and will be eyeing a fourth win in the Conference League.
Their last outing in this competition ended in a 2-1 defeat to Sigma Olomouc. Earlier wins over AEK Athens, Shamrock Rovers, and Legia show Celje aren’t pushovers in this competition.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
HNK Rijeka v NK Celje Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.85 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.64 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.7 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between HNK Rijeka and NK Celje?
Our prediction for the HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between HNK Rijeka and NK Celje in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.58% for a win of HNK Rijeka against NK Celje with odds of 1.86 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje is 22.67% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.75% chance ⭐ for a win of NK Celje vs HNK Rijeka with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
HNK Rijeka - NK Celje Prediction and Best Odds:
| HNK Rijeka NK Celje Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| HNK Rijeka wins | 51.58% | 1.86 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.9% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: HNK Rijeka | 20.95% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje Form
HNK Rijeka and NK Celje's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
|
16
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 |
HNK Rijeka and NK Celje Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
3 Dec 2025 - Croatia Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
9 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
27 Oct 2025 - Prva HNL
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
27 Sept 2025 - Prva HNL
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Croatia Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
9 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Prva HNL
18 Oct 2025 - Prva HNL
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Prva Liga
4 Dec 2025 - Slovenia Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
9 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Prva Liga
30 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
9 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
18 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - Slovenia Cup
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
29 Oct 2025 - Slovenia Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
HNK Rijeka against NK Celje Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Todorovic
DefenderA. Husic
L. Kitin
N. Bodetic
MidfielderM. Ndockyt
N. Jankovic
J. Lasickas
D. Cop
D. Thaqi
B. Bogojevic
A. Juric
L. Menalo
L. Kolar
DefenderG. Vodeb
D. Castro Pazos
M. Boben
MidfielderM. Avdyli
A. Kotnik
F. Jevsenak
V. Lisakovich
M. Poplatnik
R. Pozeg Vancas
Most goals and assists
HNK Rijeka
NK Celje
T. Fruk
(5 Goals)
F. Kovacevic
(5 Goals)
T. Dantas
(3 Assists)
M. Avdyli
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Lisakovich
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Bejger
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Kvesic
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Pozeg Vancas
(1 Assists)
,
D. Hrka
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Kucys
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Nieto
(1 Assists)
,
S. Seslar
(1 Assists)
HNK Rijeka - NK Celje Key Points
- In Celje’s last five matches, 13 goals were scored.
- Three of Rijeka’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- On average, 3.2 goals were scored in Rijeka’s last five home games.
- At least three goals were registered in three of Celje’s last five away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje Prediction
Rijeka are positioned low in the league standings, but in their current scoring run, we expect them to make a strong attempt at winning here. Playing at home means they will have the additional impetus. They have a positive run at home, and if this extends, then we have an entertaining game coming up.
Cleje will not be bullied, though. The visitors have already shown they can stand up to the big boys. Rijeka will feel like a manageable game for them. The goals market looks interesting in this, and our prediction for Rijeka v Celje is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis HNK Rijeka NK Celje
| HNK Rijeka vs NK Celje | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Rijeka wins | 2.14 | 1.86 | -13.1% |
| Draw | 3.28 | 3.9 | +18.9% |
| NK Celje wins | 3.54 | 4.5 | +27.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- HNK Rijeka is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.7% and is now 53.8% (7.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
