Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Heidenheim could become the first team in the 2025-26 campaign to get relegated from the Bundesliga as they face St Pauli on matchday 31. This match on Saturday between the 18th-placed FCH and the 16th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Heidenheim have 19 points (W4, L7, L19) and are 12 points adrift of direct safety and seven points behind the play-off spot. That place is currently occupied by St Pauli with 26 points (W6, D8, L16), and they can condemn their hosts to Bundesliga 2 with a win here.
FCH lost 2-1 away at Freiburg, putting an end to a three-game unbeaten run (W1, D2). That sequence gave them a glimmer of hope of moving at least towards the relegation play-off spot, which looks bleaker now.
Heidenheim are still a tough team to beat in front of their fans. They have won five points from their last four home Bundesliga matches (W1, D2, L1).
St Pauli drew 1-1 at home against Koln to make it a third draw in their last six league games (L3). They are still in with an outside chance of getting out of the play-off spot.
That looks a tough task on the road, as St Pauli have won just one of their last ten away competitive matches (D3, L6).
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Heidenheim v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
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|
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2.33 | 3.36 | 3.06 |
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|
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2.33 | 3.36 | 3.06 |
|
|
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2.3 | 3.5 | 3 |
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|
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2.32 | 3.35 | 2.98 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Heidenheim and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Heidenheim vs St. Pauli match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Heidenheim and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.81% for a win of Heidenheim against St. Pauli with odds of 2.41 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heidenheim vs St. Pauli is 26.58% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.61% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Heidenheim with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
Heidenheim - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Heidenheim St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim wins | 38.81% | 2.41 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.17% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.04% | |
| Half-time: St. Pauli / Full-time: Heidenheim | 14.95% | 27 at LSbet |
Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Form
Heidenheim and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
Heidenheim and St. Pauli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
27 May 2020 - 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Feller
DefenderO. Traore
L. Stergiou
T. Siersleben
MidfielderJ. Niehues
L. Kerber
A. Ibrahimovic
C. Conteh
S. Schimmer
B. Voll
DefenderL. Ritzka
E. Smith
A. Dzwigala
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
L. Oppie
ForwardM. Kaars
A. Ceesay
T. Hara
Missing players
L. Paqarada
ForwardS. Conteh
S. Spari
MidfielderM. Pereira Lage
J. Sands
R. Jones
Most goals and assists
Heidenheim - St. Pauli Key Points
- St Pauli averaged a league-low 0.9 goals per game this season.
- Heidenheim are marginally above them with 1.1 goals per match.
- St Pauli’s expected goal (xG) count of 27 is the lowest in the division.
- Heidenheim have the lowest shots on target (3.4) this season, while St Pauli (3.5) are just above them.
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Our Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction
Heidenheim could be officially relegated this weekend if they lose here to St Pauli. The visitors are themselves in the battle to avoid the drop, five points behind safety and with a two-point advantage in the relegation play-off spot. A win for St Pauli could be valuable in their battle, particularly as they have dominated their historical record against Heidenheim, winning seven of their last ten competitive games.
This battle between two struggling attacks is why our Heidenheim vs St. Pauli prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heidenheim St. Pauli
| Heidenheim vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim wins | 2.66 | 2.41 | -9.4% |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.5 | +3.9% |
| St. Pauli wins | 2.92 | 3.18 | +8.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heidenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.6% and is now 41.5% (3.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.