Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
25/04/2026 09:30
St. Pauli

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Heidenheim could become the first team in the 2025-26 campaign to get relegated from the Bundesliga as they face St Pauli on matchday 31. This match on Saturday between the 18th-placed FCH and the 16th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, Heidenheim have 19 points (W4, L7, L19) and are 12 points adrift of direct safety and seven points behind the play-off spot. That place is currently occupied by St Pauli with 26 points (W6, D8, L16), and they can condemn their hosts to Bundesliga 2 with a win here.

FCH lost 2-1 away at Freiburg, putting an end to a three-game unbeaten run (W1, D2). That sequence gave them a glimmer of hope of moving at least towards the relegation play-off spot, which looks bleaker now.

Heidenheim are still a tough team to beat in front of their fans. They have won five points from their last four home Bundesliga matches (W1, D2, L1).

St Pauli drew 1-1 at home against Koln to make it a third draw in their last six league games (L3). They are still in with an outside chance of getting out of the play-off spot.

That looks a tough task on the road, as St Pauli have won just one of their last ten away competitive matches (D3, L6).

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Heidenheim v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.38 3.45 3.05
Melbet
2.33 3.36 3.06
Betwinner
2.33 3.36 3.06
Bet365
2.3 3.5 3
Roobet
2.32 3.35 2.98
Check all Heidenheim vs St. Pauli odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Heidenheim and St. Pauli?

Our prediction for the Heidenheim vs St. Pauli match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Heidenheim and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.81% for a win of Heidenheim against St. Pauli with odds of 2.41 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heidenheim vs St. Pauli is 26.58% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.61% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Heidenheim with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.

Heidenheim - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:

Heidenheim St. Pauli Prediction Probability Odds
Heidenheim wins 38.81% 2.41 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 59.17% 1.91 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 51.04%
Half-time: St. Pauli / Full-time: Heidenheim 14.95% 27 at LSbet

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Form

Heidenheim and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17 Heidenheim
26 34 6 8 20 -31
18 St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 -31

Heidenheim and St. Pauli Last Matches

Heidenheim
Heidenheim Last matches
L L D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Union Berlin

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  2
Heidenheim

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  0
Heidenheim

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Hoffenheim
L L D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Union Berlin

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Hoffenheim

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Stuttgart

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Hamburg

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  3
Leipzig
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  2
Heidenheim

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  0
Heidenheim

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  0
Heidenheim

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
D L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Köln

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  5
Bayern Munich

5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
St. Pauli

22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg

13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  0
St. Pauli

8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Köln

11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  5
Bayern Munich

22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Freiburg

8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Werder Bremen

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Stuttgart
L L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
St. Pauli

13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  0
St. Pauli

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
0 :  1
St. Pauli

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
St. Pauli

3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
St. Pauli

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Heidenheim

25 %

Draw

25 %

St. Pauli

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.75
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.75
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Heidenheim

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
St. Pauli

25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Heidenheim

27 May 2020 - 2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Heidenheim

Heidenheim against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11

Heidenheim

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

41
D. Ramaj
2
M. Busch
6
P. Mainka
19
J. Fohrenbach
26
H. Behrens
3
J. Schoppner
30
N. Dorsch
21
A. Beck
8
E. Dinkci
18
M. Pieringer
11
B. Zivzivadze
27
A. Hountondji
16
J. Fujita
10
D. Sinani
11
A. Pyrka
7
J. Irvine
20
M. Rasmussen
2
M. Saliakas
3
K. Mets
5
H. Wahl
15
T. Ando
22
N. Vasilj

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

St. Pauli

Substitutes

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Goalkeeper

F. Feller

Defender

O. Traore

L. Stergiou

T. Siersleben

Midfielder

J. Niehues

N. Dorsch 85'

L. Kerber

A. Beck 56'

A. Ibrahimovic

E. Dinkci 90'

Forward

C. Conteh

B. Zivzivadze 90'

S. Schimmer

M. Pieringer 90'

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

L. Ritzka

M. Saliakas 64'

E. Smith

M. Rasmussen 46'

A. Dzwigala

Midfielder

C. Metcalfe

D. Sinani 88'

L. Oppie

Forward

M. Kaars

J. Fujita 46'

A. Ceesay

A. Hountondji 64'

T. Hara

Missing players

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Defender

L. Paqarada

Forward

S. Conteh

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

S. Spari

Midfielder

M. Pereira Lage

J. Sands

R. Jones

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Heidenheim
CD Huachipato St. Pauli
Top Goalscorer
Georgia B. Zivzivadze (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Luxembourg D. Sinani (5 Goals)
Best assists
Germany M. Busch (5 Assists)
Best assists
Japan J. Fujita (3 Assists)

Heidenheim - St. Pauli Key Points

  1. St Pauli averaged a league-low 0.9 goals per game this season.
  2. Heidenheim are marginally above them with 1.1 goals per match.
  3. St Pauli’s expected goal (xG) count of 27 is the lowest in the division.
  4. Heidenheim have the lowest shots on target (3.4) this season, while St Pauli (3.5) are just above them.
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Our Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction

Heidenheim could be officially relegated this weekend if they lose here to St Pauli. The visitors are themselves in the battle to avoid the drop, five points behind safety and with a two-point advantage in the relegation play-off spot. A win for St Pauli could be valuable in their battle, particularly as they have dominated their historical record against Heidenheim, winning seven of their last ten competitive games.

This battle between two struggling attacks is why our Heidenheim vs St. Pauli prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heidenheim St. Pauli

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Heidenheim wins 2.66 2.41 -9.4%
Draw 3.37 3.5 +3.9%
St. Pauli wins 2.92 3.18 +8.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Heidenheim is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 37.6% and is now 41.5% (3.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction