Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Champions League Predictions
Hearts came through all nineteen of their home league games last season without defeat, bagging 15 wins right here. That run left them needing only a draw at Celtic Park on the final day to be crowned champions for the first time since 1960. The Tynecastle record underpins our Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction, even with a four-goal hole to climb out of.
The first leg in Graz went badly wrong for the Jambos. Wouter Vrancken's first competitive match in charge ended 4-0. The opener arrived from a long throw inside four minutes, and three more goals landed in a nine-minute spell after the interval.
Vrancken's men carried the better openings from open play and were undone by dead balls rather than outplayed. Die Schwoazn, meanwhile, travel with the tie all but won, and they have already looked beyond it. Fabio Ingolitsch kept only two of his first-leg starters for Friday's Austrian Cup opener.
That 3-0 win at third-tier Seekirchen brought no clear opening inside the opening twenty minutes. His own verdict has been generous. The Sturm boss called the tie a 50-50 duel and rated Hearts the more technical side.
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Heart Of Midlothian FC v Sturm Graz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.84 | 3.95 | 3.8 |
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1.83 | 3.88 | 3.87 |
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1.83 | 3.88 | 3.87 |
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1.83 | 3.88 | 3.87 |
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1.83 | 3.88 | 3.87 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz match is: Heart of Midlothian wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/07/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.41% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.87 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz is 16.32% with odds of 4.25 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Form
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership
26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2026 - ÖFB Cup
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2026 - ÖFB Cup
10 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jul 2026 - Champions League
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Stats in Champions League
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Hearts went unbeaten across all nineteen home league matches last season, winning fifteen and drawing four.
- Hearts dominated the ball in the first leg, holding 67% possession, but failed to score.
- Hearts closed last season with seven straight home wins.
- Two of Sturm's four goals in the first leg came directly from set pieces.
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Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Nobody broke Tynecastle last season. The Jambos came through all nineteen home league games without defeat, signing off with seven straight wins. The first leg flattered Sturm badly. Vrancken's side owned the ball at 67% and were beaten by two set pieces rather than in open play.
Die Schwoazn arrive with qualification effectively banked, and Ingolitsch kept only two first-leg starters in his cup side on Friday. The aggregate is beyond saving, but ninety minutes in Gorgie are not. Hence, our Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction is that Heart of Midlothian wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.