Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
28/07/2026 14:45
Sturm Graz

Prediction :

 

Heart Of Midlothian FC wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Champions League Predictions

Hearts came through all nineteen of their home league games last season without defeat, bagging 15 wins right here. That run left them needing only a draw at Celtic Park on the final day to be crowned champions for the first time since 1960. The Tynecastle record underpins our Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction, even with a four-goal hole to climb out of.

The first leg in Graz went badly wrong for the Jambos. Wouter Vrancken's first competitive match in charge ended 4-0. The opener arrived from a long throw inside four minutes, and three more goals landed in a nine-minute spell after the interval.

Vrancken's men carried the better openings from open play and were undone by dead balls rather than outplayed. Die Schwoazn, meanwhile, travel with the tie all but won, and they have already looked beyond it. Fabio Ingolitsch kept only two of his first-leg starters for Friday's Austrian Cup opener.

That 3-0 win at third-tier Seekirchen brought no clear opening inside the opening twenty minutes. His own verdict has been generous. The Sturm boss called the tie a 50-50 duel and rated Hearts the more technical side.

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Heart Of Midlothian FC v Sturm Graz Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.84 3.95 3.8
1xbet
1.83 3.88 3.87
Melbet
1.83 3.88 3.87
Betwinner
1.83 3.88 3.87
22bet
1.83 3.88 3.87
Check all Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz?

Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz match is: Heart of Midlothian wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/07/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.41% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.87 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz is 16.32% with odds of 4.25 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Form

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Last Matches

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC Last matches
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  1
Motherwell

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Dundee FC

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Aberdeen
L D W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Last matches
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Seekirchen
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy

26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
5 :  0
Mura Murska Sobota
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Seekirchen
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

10 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
2 :  4
Sturm Graz

3 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

15 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Vienna
2 :  5
Sturm Graz

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Heart Of Midlothian FC

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sturm Graz

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Sturm Graz Stats in Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
0%
Wins
100%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
4
0
Goals scored per match
4
4
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

Heart Of Midlothian FC - Sturm Graz Key Points

  1. Hearts went unbeaten across all nineteen home league matches last season, winning fifteen and drawing four.
  2. Hearts dominated the ball in the first leg, holding 67% possession, but failed to score.
  3. Hearts closed last season with seven straight home wins.
  4. Two of Sturm's four goals in the first leg came directly from set pieces.
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Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Nobody broke Tynecastle last season. The Jambos came through all nineteen home league games without defeat, signing off with seven straight wins. The first leg flattered Sturm badly. Vrancken's side owned the ball at 67% and were beaten by two set pieces rather than in open play.

Die Schwoazn arrive with qualification effectively banked, and Ingolitsch kept only two first-leg starters in his cup side on Friday. The aggregate is beyond saving, but ninety minutes in Gorgie are not. Hence, our Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction is that Heart of Midlothian wins.

Prediction :

 

Heart Of Midlothian FC wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.