Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
For the first time in months too many to count, the top spot in the Scottish Premiership table might just change hands as Heart of Midlothian FC takes on Motherwell. The Jam Tarts are just one point above Rangers in second, and three more than Celtic. Can Hearts overcome their demons in Motherwell to retain the top spot? Check out our match prediction below.
Hearts are on a historic journey that could see them end a 60-year top-flight title drought. They enter Matchday 33, the final day of the regular season, with just a one-point advantage. The Jam Tarts’ grip has been gradually slipping since the end of January. And they might just finally lose grapes if they don’t find a way to break open Motherwell.
The visiting Motherwell, who are fighting to protect their Conference League qualification spot from Hibernian, have been a thorn in Hearts’ side all season. Both meetings ended with a stalemate this season, first a 3-3 draw on these very grounds, followed by a 0-0 draw at Motherwell’s home. But with The Well winless in their last four games with three losses, Hearts might pull it off with everything on the line.
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Heart Of Midlothian FC v Motherwell Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.06 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.38 | 3.65 |
|
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2 | 3.38 | 3.68 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.35 | 3.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Motherwell?
Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell match is: Hearts win or draw & over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Motherwell in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.05% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Motherwell with odds of 2.06 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell is 29.86% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:
| Heart Of Midlothian FC Motherwell Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 50.05% | 2.06 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Heart Of Midlothian FC | 21.23% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell Form
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
70 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 |
|
4
|
54 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +23 |
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Motherwell Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
7 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
7 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
18 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
25 Aug 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Motherwell: Form Analysis
Despite being the best team this season, as evidenced by their 1st position after 32 games, Hearts have been in perilous form this season.
The Jam Tarts have now taken just five wins in their last ten league games: a form that could turn a 60-dream into a nightmare in this final chapter.
The latest outing was especially worrying as Hearts drew last-placed Livingston 2-2 on the road.
At least for the home side, their opponents, who they’ve lost four points to this season, enter with an even worse form.
Motherwell, who boasted (and still boasts) of an almost invincible defence all season, have now been ruthlessly penetrated in their last four games.
The Well just lost by 3-2 at home to Falkirk, which followed a 3-1 thrashing from Celtic and a shock 2-1 defeat to Dundee FC in the games prior. Away from home is also a record of three defeats in their last three games, which have raised doubts about their true chances here.
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Players list
A. Schwolow
DefenderO. McEntee
S. Findlay
S. Kingsley
C. Halkett
MidfielderC. Devlin
B. Baningime
B. Spittal
ForwardC. Soares Braga
A. Kyziridis
L. Shankland
C. Ward
DefenderE. Longelo
P. McGinn
S. O'Donnell
S. Welsh
MidfielderL. Fadinger
T. Sparrow
E. Just
E. Watt
ForwardT. Maswanhise
I. Said
Substitutes
R. Fulton
DefenderM. Steinwender
F. Kent
J. McCart
J. Altena
R. Mato Kassim
I. Chesnokov
S. Kerjota
P. Kabore
M. Connelly
DefenderJ. McGhee
L. Gordon
MidfielderA. Halliday
O. Priestman
Z. McAllister
ForwardL. Ross
S. Nicholson
C. Hendry
Heart Of Midlothian FC & Motherwell Squad Analysis
Perhaps no other matchup this season could feature as many potential players of the season, as the league’s leaders in almost every category will share the pitch on Saturday.
In the top three goal scorers is Motherwell’s Tawanda Maswanhise with 17 (1st) and Hearts Claudio Braga with 13 to his name (3rd).
These two were practically the difference in their 3-3 clash, with Braga netting a brace to Maswanhise’s one crucial goal.
Both players scored in their latest games, Braga’s strike briefly giving them the lead against Motherwell and Maswanhise’s 94th-minute goal failing to salvage anything against Falkirk. Motherwell also has another trump card in the form of Callum Slattery, who’s the league’s joint leader on assists with 8 so far.
But what might be the true difference here is which team’s keepers buckle under the pressure. Motherwell’s Calum Ward (17) and Hearts’ Alexander Schwolow both lead the league in clean sheets at 1st and 2nd, respectively.
With both teams boasting an almost full starting lineup, the weight of winning here might just rest on both keepers on Saturday.
Most goals and assists
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Motherwell
L. Shankland
(16 Goals)
T. Maswanhise
(17 Goals)
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Motherwell Key Points
- Hearts have lost the second-fewest games this season.
- Hearts have scored the 3rd-most goals this season (55), while Motherwell have the joint 4th-most (51).
- The “win or draw & over 1.5 bet” has been won for the opponent in Motherwell’s last three games.
- Hearts have also won or drawn their last four games in this stadium against Motherwell, with three games featuring over 1.5 goals.
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Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell Prediction
We just can’t see Hearts losing this history-defining game at home and at such a crucial time in the season. The Jam Tarts are just six games away from ending a drought spanning over half a century, and you can bet they won’t let anything get in their way.
We do acknowledge Motherwell’s grit and defensive prowess, which is why we’re settling for a win or draw, on the condition that this game features over 1.5 goals. And that’s something to expect from the 3rd and 4th-highest goal scorers this season. Hence, our Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell prediction is Hearts win or draw & over 1.5 goals.
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell Alternative Predictions
Heart Of Midlothian FC wins
If any team will take all three points here, it has to be Hearts. The Jam Tarts have been the much better side all season. And crucially, The Well are in a serious slump, with three losses in their last four and eight goals conceded in that span. Hearts have a 60-year dream to fight for, and combined with the stats, everything points toward a home victory here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heart Of Midlothian FC Motherwell
| Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 1.92 | 2.06 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Motherwell wins | 4.1 | 3.8 | -7.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heart Of Midlothian FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 48.5% (-3.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
