Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Expect nothing less than an attacking onslaught early on from Heart of Midlothian FC in Matchday 28 as they host Falkirk. With Rangers beating The Jam Tarts in the last round, their gap at the top has been slashed to two, making a win over the Bairns non-negotiable. Stick around for our Hearts vs Falkirk prediction.
With two points separating Hearts and Rangers at the top, this will be the closest lead since The Jam Tarts topped the table. Their trip to The Gers last weekend was indeed valiant, but ended with a 4-2 loss on the road. With a draw and two losses in their last five games, Hearts' slipups have now officially blown the title race wide open, as third-placed Celtic is also just three points behind.
While Hearts comfortably beat Falkirk 3-0 and 2-0 in the league this season, they cannot underestimate the Bairns in this clash. Remember, Falkirk knocked Hearts out of the Scottish Cup on penalties in their latest clash.
And ever since that win, Falkirk has been flying high, punching its way into the 6th position with four wins in its last six games. Falkirk did lose their latest game at home to Dundee United (3-2), but the third goal only came after the Bairns went down to ten men.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Heart Of Midlothian FC v Falkirk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.05 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.05 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.7 | 6 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk?
Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk match is: Hearts win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.2% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Falkirk with odds of 1.64 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk is 22.37% with odds of 4.05 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Falkirk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Heart Of Midlothian FC Falkirk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 50.2% | 1.64 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 65.78% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Heart Of Midlothian FC | 25% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Form
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
70 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 |
|
6
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -3 |
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
8 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup
4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
1 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup
4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
1 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership
17 Aug 2024 - Scottish League Cup
Players list
A. Schwolow
DefenderS. Findlay
M. Steinwender
H. Milne
C. Halkett
MidfielderE. Almeida Santos
T. Magnusson
M. Leonard
ForwardC. Soares Braga
I. Chesnokov
A. Kyziridis
S. Bain
DefenderL. Mccann
K. Adams
C. Miller
C. Donaldson
MidfielderD. Tait
B. Broggio
F. Lissah
B. Spencer
ForwardB. Stewart
K. Wilson
Substitutes
R. Fulton
DefenderJ. McCart
F. Kent
MidfielderJ. Altena
B. Spittal
ForwardP. Kabore
R. Mato Kassim
A. Forrest
S. Kerjota
N. Hogarth
DefenderS. Hart
MidfielderC. Allan
E. Williams
H. Cartwright
F. Yeats
E. Ross
B. Graham
L. Marsh
Most goals and assists
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Falkirk
L. Shankland
(16 Goals)
B. Stewart
(8 Goals)
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Falkirk Key Points
- Hearts still haven't tasted defeat at home this season, winning nine of their 13 games.
- Hearts have scored the most goals in the league this season (50).
- Hearts beat Falkirk with a clean sheet in their only two league meetings this season.
- Falkirk has still scored the fifth-fewest goals (32).
- Hearts have conceded the third-fewest goals (24), while Falkirk has conceded the sixth-most (35).
- Hearts still boast the second-most clean sheets (12).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Prediction
While Kilmarnock are flying high, we doubt they'll survive the onslaught from Hearts, who must win or drop to second or third by the end of Matchday 28. In the league which Hearts prioritised the most, they trashed Falkirk 3-0 (at home) and 2-0 on the road.
What's more, The Jam Tarts’ recent slump is understandable as a loss and a draw came to second-placed Rangers and third-placed Celtic, respectively. Hence, our Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk prediction is Hearts win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heart Of Midlothian FC Falkirk
| Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 1.59 | 1.64 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.05 | +1.3% |
| Falkirk wins | 6.2 | 6 | -3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heart Of Midlothian FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.9% and is now 61.0% (-1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
