Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Cup
Scotland - Scottish Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Two Scottish Premiership sides, Heart of Midlothian and Falkirk, are set to lock horns at Tynecastle Park in the fourth round of the Scottish FA Cup. This marks the eighth meeting between these two sides in this competition. Hearts hold the upper hand in this fixture with five wins. Here's our match prediction.
Heart of Midlothian have cemented their place as the joint fourth-best team in this competition, with eight trophies collected. Their last triumph in the Scottish FA Cup was in 2012. However, they did manage to reach the finals in 2022 but lost 2-0 to Rangers FC after extra time.
Since then, they've been eliminated in the quarter-finals, including two consecutive semi-final eliminations against Rangers FC and, most recently, Aberdeen.
Hearts come into this match riding a wave of confidence, having won six of their last seven games. A 2-0 home league win against St. Mirren last time out extended their winning streak to three games.
After reaching the semi-finals of the Scottish FA Cup for the sixth time in their history in 2023, Falkirk have been unfortunate in repeating the same feat in the editions to follow, bowing out in the fourth round in 2024 and 2025.
The Bairns will be hoping to progress beyond this stage for the first time since 2023. However, they face a Hearts side that eliminated them in the last 16 six years ago.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Heart Of Midlothian FC v Falkirk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.25 | 1.08 | 17 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.42 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.98 | 4.71 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk?
Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk match is: Heart of Midlothian FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk in Scottish Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.78% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Falkirk with odds of 8.25 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk is 19.8% with odds of 4.42 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 17 at Stake.
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Falkirk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Heart Of Midlothian FC Falkirk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 54.78% | 8.25 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 64.47% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 79.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Heart Of Midlothian FC/Heart Of Midlothian FC | 25.71% | 2.35 at LSbet |
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Form
Heart Of Midlothian FC and Falkirk Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
7 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
8 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership
17 Aug 2024 - Scottish League Cup
Players list
A. Schwolow
DefenderS. Findlay
S. Kingsley
H. Milne
M. Steinwender
MidfielderJ. Altena
C. Devlin
B. Baningime
ForwardL. Shankland
P. Kabore
A. Kyziridis
N. Hogarth
DefenderL. Henderson
S. Hart
C. Miller
B. Parkinson
MidfielderB. Spencer
E. Ross
L. Neilson
H. Cartwright
B. Broggio
F. Yeats
Substitutes
R. Fulton
DefenderF. Kent
J. McCart
MidfielderB. Spittal
C. Borchgrevink
ForwardS. Kerjota
A. Forrest
C. Soares Braga
I. Chesnokov
J. Sneddon
DefenderC. Donaldson
MidfielderC. Allan
D. Tait
ForwardR. MacIver
G. Oliver
K. Wilson
B. Graham
K. Brown
Heart Of Midlothian FC - Falkirk Key Points
- Heart of Midlothian have won their last three matches.
- Falkirk have won just three of their last nine matches.
- Heart of Midlothian have emerged victorious in their last two games against Falkirk.
- Falkirk have lost three of their last five away matches against Heart of Midlothian.
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Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk Prediction
It's hard to ignore Heart of Midlothian's impressive form this season and the fact that they've proved themselves as genuine title contenders in the Scottish Premiership, leading the table with a six-point cushion. Hearts enters this match having won six of their last seven games.
Unfortunately for Falkirk, they've tasted the wrath of Hearts this season, losing twice. The visitors have also lost their last two away visits at Tynecastle Park, and given their five losses against this opponent in seven Scottish FA Cup encounters, a home win is inevitable. Our Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction: Heart of Midlothian FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heart Of Midlothian FC Falkirk
| Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 1.51 | 8.25 | +446.4% |
| Draw | 4.6 | 4.42 | -3.9% |
| Falkirk wins | 5.6 | 17 | +203.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heart Of Midlothian FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 446.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 12.1% (-54.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
