Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
28/02/2026 10:00
Aberdeen

Prediction :

 

BTTS - No

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

With Celtic and Rangers both dropping points last weekend, you can bet Heart of Midlothian will do everything to extend the lead immediately when they host Aberdeen. The Jam Tarts are now four points clear with ten games to go. The question now is if The Dons will gift them all three points here. Find out in our match prediction.

While Celtic lost to Hibernian and Rangers drew to last-placed Livingston, Hearts took a slim but crucial 1-0 win over Falkirk. They've seen several bumps in the last month for The Jam Tarts, with only three wins in their last seven games. However, they still maintain the lead and will be determined to end their 60-year top-flight title drought with ten more games to go, starting with a win over Aberdeen.

However, The Dons themselves are a tricky team to play this season despite a largely underwhelming campaign. Of the eight games Aberdeen has won this season, one was over Hearts in their latest meeting (1-0). But in truth, Aberdeen is in a much different form from that time.

The Dons’ latest draw to Dundee United has now seen them go winless in four straight league games, featuring three defeats. In fact, in its last nine league games, Aberdeen has won only one match while losing seven in that span.

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Heart Of Midlothian FC v Aberdeen Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.43 4.8 7.4
Melbet
1.42 4.5 7.09
Betwinner
1.42 4.5 7.09
Bet365
1.39 4.2 8
Roobet
1.4 4.6 7.2
Check all Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen?

Our prediction for the Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen match is: BTTS - No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Heart Of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.24% for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC against Aberdeen with odds of 1.44 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen is 23.44% with odds of 4.8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 8 at Bet365.

Heart Of Midlothian FC - Aberdeen Prediction and Best Odds:

Heart Of Midlothian FC Aberdeen Prediction Probability Odds
Heart Of Midlothian FC wins 63.24% 1.44 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 70.87% 2.1 at LSbet
Both Team To Score: No 76.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Heart Of Midlothian FC 28.36% 4.1 at LSbet

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Form

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Heart Of Midlothian FC
70 33 21 7 5 +30
8 Aberdeen
33 33 9 6 18 -15

Heart Of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen Last Matches

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC Last matches
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Falkirk

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
4 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Hibernian

3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  3
Heart Of Midlothian FC

25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  2
Celtic
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Falkirk

10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Hibernian

25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  2
Celtic

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Falkirk

14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  0
St Mirren

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Livingston
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
4 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  3
Heart Of Midlothian FC

11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
0 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
3 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Aberdeen
Aberdeen Last matches
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Aberdeen

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  3
Dundee FC

18 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Motherwell

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Aberdeen

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston
D L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  3
Dundee FC

18 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Motherwell

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston

18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Raith Rovers

11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
Rangers

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  1
Dundee United
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
0 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Aberdeen

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Aberdeen

6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  0
Aberdeen

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  0
Aberdeen

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
2 :  0
Aberdeen

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Heart Of Midlothian FC

17 %

Draw

33 %

Aberdeen

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

4 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  0
Aberdeen

19 Apr 2025 - Scottish Cup

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  2
Aberdeen

12 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

1 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Aberdeen

6 Oct 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
3 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Players list

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Goalkeeper

A. Schwolow

Defender

M. Steinwender

J. McCart

H. Milne

C. Halkett

Midfielder

T. Magnusson

M. Leonard

B. Spittal

Forward

C. Soares Braga

A. Kyziridis

P. Kabore

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

D. Mitov

Defender

L. Morrison

G. Molloy

N. Devlin

Midfielder

L. Cameron

J. Milne

T. Keskinen

G. Shinnie

D. Geiger

Forward

T. Olusanya

K. Nisbet

Substitutes

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Goalkeeper

R. Fulton

Defender

F. Kent

A. Kyziridis 84'

Midfielder

J. Altena

B. Baningime

B. Spittal 87'

E. Kabangu

Forward

I. Chesnokov

C. Soares Braga 88'

R. Mato Kassim

A. Forrest

S. Kerjota

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

R. Vitols

Defender

M. Frame

T. Keskinen 46'

Midfielder

S. Nilsen

G. Shinnie 46'

K. Bilalovic

D. Lobban

N. Devlin 71'

A. Afeez

S. Armstrong

L. Cameron 66'

A. Palaversa

Forward

M. Lazetic

T. Olusanya 79'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Heart Of Midlothian FC
CD Huachipato Aberdeen
Top Goalscorer
Scotland L. Shankland (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Scotland K. Nisbet (9 Goals)

Heart Of Midlothian FC - Aberdeen Key Points

  1. Hearts have won the most games this season (18).
  2. Hearts have scored the most goals this season (51).
  3. Hearts have the best home record this season, winning ten of their 14 games without a loss.
  4. Hearts have also scored the joint second-most goals at home (27) while conceding the second fewest (9).
  5. Hearts have kept the second-most clean sheets (14).
  6. Aberdeen has scored the second-fewest goals this season (28).
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Our Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Prediction

For Hearts, Aberdeen are right where The Jam Tarts want them: underperforming and travelling for this game. The Dons have now gone winless in seven straight away games, while losing six of them. Perhaps most indicative of their recent road form is the fact that Aberdeen only scored one goal in their last seven away games.

It's hard to imagine that such lacklustre attack from Aberdeen would upset arguably one of the defences, which has conceded the third-fewest goals this season (24). Hence, our Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen prediction is BTTS - No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS - No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heart Of Midlothian FC Aberdeen

Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Heart Of Midlothian FC wins 1.42 1.44 +1.4%
Draw 4.55 4.8 +5.5%
Aberdeen wins 8.25 8 -3.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Heart Of Midlothian FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 69.4% (-1.0%)

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Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen Prediction