Germany - Bundesliga
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by Nella Wagah | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hamburg had one of the best home runs in Bundesliga 2 last season and will eye a good start when hosting St. Pauli. The two sides opened their league charges with draws, and each will be looking to rise here. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Hamburg’s season started with a 2-1 win against Pirmasens in the DFB Pokal. At 90 minutes they were tied at 1-1, and Hamburg only won it in extra time.
Their first Bundesliga match would also end in a draw, this time goalless at Borussia Monchengladbach, their second clean sheet in eight matches. The last time these two sides faced off was in the second tier, Hamburg winning 1-0 to extend their unbeaten run in this matchup to three.
St. Pauli’s start to the season was almost identical to Hamburg’s. They progressed in the DFB Pokal with a win on post-match penalties against Norderstedt following a goalless draw.
Their first league match also ended in a draw, but a more entertaining one. Playing at home, St. Pauli scored twice in the last four minutes to come from 3-1 down to draw 3-3 with Borussia Dortmund.
After only securing survival in the latter stages of last season, St. Pauli will be keen on bagging points this early. A match against Hamburg fits the profile of a game to target three points from.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hamburg v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs St. Pauli match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2025 between Hamburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.23% for a win of Hamburg against St. Pauli with odds of 2.45 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs St. Pauli is 29.04% with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.73% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Hamburg with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
Hamburg - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 39.73% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.52% | 2.1 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 16.7% | 6.75 at Unibet |
Hamburg vs St. Pauli Form
Hamburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
|
14
|
7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 |
Hamburg and St. Pauli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Hamburg vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2024 - 2. Bundesliga
1 Dec 2023 - 2. Bundesliga
Players list
D. Fernandes
DefenderW. Omari
R. Philippe
J. Torunarigha
G. Gocholeishvili
M. Muheim
MidfielderN. Remberg
S. Otto
ForwardY. Poulsen
W. Mikelbrencis
J. Dompe
N. Vasilj
DefenderH. Wahl
E. Smith
L. Ritzka
MidfielderM. Saliakas
J. Sands
J. Fujita
L. Oppie
C. Metcalfe
ForwardD. Sinani
M. Kaars
Substitutes
D. Peretz
DefenderW. Mikelbrencis
A. Soumahoro
L. Vuskovic
MidfielderJ. Dompe
J. Meffert
ForwardY. Poulsen
R. Philippe
S. Otto
B. Voll
DefenderM. Saliakas
L. Ritzka
J. Robatsch
MidfielderE. Ahlstrand
C. Metcalfe
N. Schmidt
ForwardO. Afolayan
M. Kaars
Missing players
B. Yalcinkaya
I. Pherai
B. Jatta
D. Nemeth
K. Mets
MidfielderJ. Irvine
R. Jones
ForwardA. Ceesay
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
St. Pauli
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
M. Muheim
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Capaldo
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Remberg
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Vieira
(1 Assists)
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
,
M. Pereira Lage
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Saliakas
(1 Assists)
Hamburg - St. Pauli Key Points
- Hamburg have two clean sheets in the last eight matches.
- St. Pauli have two clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- In St. Pauli’s last 10 league matches, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in five of these sides’ last eight meetings.
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Our Hamburg vs St. Pauli Prediction
These two sides didn’t face off last season, as they played in separate leagues. However, they are familiar foes and meet in a match that rarely goes goalless. In five of the last eight, both teams scored. As the two sides aren’t coming here with many clean sheets, we are backing that trend to continue.
St. Pauli are coming off a six-goal thriller with both sides scoring, while Hamburg just managed their second clean sheet in eight matches. Our prediction for Hamburg v St. Pauli is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg St. Pauli
| Hamburg vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 2.15 | 2.45 | +14.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| St. Pauli wins | 2.9 | 3 | +3.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 33.3% (-1.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Hamburg vs. St. Pauli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Hamburg and St. Pauli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
