Hamburg vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
In a crucial fixture that could have long-term implications on the Bundesliga relegation race, Hamburg will host Koln in matchday 26 on Saturday. This match between the 10th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the 14th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round, Hamburg have 29 points (W7, D8, L10) and are five points above the relegation zone. That last position in the bottom three, which is the relegation play-off spot, was occupied by St Pauli ahead of this round. Koln also have the same points (24) with a record of W6, D6, L13 and only ahead because of goal difference.
Hamburg edged Wolfsburg 2-1 away from home last weekend to bounce back from twin defeats to Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen. In fact, those two losses remain their only reverses in their last nine Bundesliga games (W3, D4).
Even at home, Hamburg were unbeaten in seven Bundesliga fixtures (W3, D4) before losing in consecutive games to Leipzig and Leverkusen.
Koln lost 2-1 at home to Dortmund last weekend to remain perilously close to the bottom three. They have four defeats out of the last four league games (D1), and this run hasn’t helped ease their nerves.
Worryingly for the visitors, their away form is equally dire. Koln were beaten in six of their last eight Bundesliga trips (D2).
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Hamburg v Köln Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.31 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.44 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.42 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Köln?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Köln match is: Hamburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Hamburg and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.07% for a win of Hamburg against Köln with odds of 2.39 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Köln is 35.76% with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Hamburg with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
Hamburg - Köln Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Köln Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 46.07% | 2.39 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.89% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hamburg | 23.33% | 6 at Bet365 |
Hamburg vs Köln Form
Hamburg and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Hamburg and Köln Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
2 Aug 2024 - 2. Bundesliga
18 Jan 2022 - DFB Pokal
25 Aug 2017 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2017 - DFB Pokal
Hamburg against Köln Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
DefenderD. Elfadli
G. Gocholeishvili
MidfielderJ. Dompe
O. Stange
F. Balde
R. Philippe
Philipas Otele
R. Glatzel
R. Zieler
DefenderS. Sebulonsen
D. Heintz
MidfielderL. Maina
F. Chavez
F. Kainz
C. Neumann
L. Waldschmidt
M. Bulter
Missing players
B. Jatta
N. Capaldo
A. Gronbaek
ForwardA. Rossing Lelesiit
T. Hubers
A. Castro-Montes
J. Schmied
J. Simpson-Pusey
MidfielderJ. Thielmann
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Köln
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
Hamburg - Köln Key Points
- Hamburg have three wins from their last six Bundesliga games.
- At home, Hamburg have three wins and three draws from their last eight Bundesliga fixtures.
- Koln lost four of their last five Bundesliga matches.
- Koln lost six of their last eight away league games, including three in a row.
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Our Hamburg vs Köln Prediction
Five points separate these two sides with Hamburg in a better position. Koln are only marginally above the relegation zone, which makes this match a proverbial relegation six-pointer. What works to Hamburg’s advantage is their strong home form that has kept them unbeaten in seven Bundesliga fixtures before they lost to Leipzig and Leverkusen. Those two are from the top six sides, which means Hamburg will enjoy welcoming a struggling Koln.
Koln have lost six of their last eight away Bundesliga games, so Hamburg vs Koln prediction is Hamburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Köln
| Hamburg vs Köln | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 2.16 | 2.39 | +10.6% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.7 | +1.1% |
| Köln wins | 3.58 | 3.25 | -9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hamburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.3% and is now 41.8% (-4.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
