Hamburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim’s top-four push in the Bundesliga faces a tricky trip to Hamburg in a matchday 31 fixture on Saturday. This match in Hamburg between the 14th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the 5th-placed ‘Kraichgauers’ comes with our prediction of over 2.5 and BTTS.
Before this matchday began, Hamburg’s 31 points (W7, D10, L13) put them five points above the relegation zone with four rounds remaining. Hoffenheim have 54 points (W16, D6, L8) and are two points outside the top four places.
Hamburg lost 3-1 away at Werder last weekend to continue their poor recent form. They are winless in five league games (D1, L4), including consecutive defeats.
The Red Shorts are still a tough team at home, as they have avoided defeat in nine of their last 11 home Bundesliga matches (W3, D6). Nine of those 11 games saw both teams score goals, hinting at more entertainment here.
Hoffenheim won 2-1 at home against Borussia Dortmund last weekend to remain in the top four race. That said, they haven’t won consecutive league games since February, which is a concern.
Their away form is a bigger worry in that scheme of things, as Hoffenheim have failed to win on four of their last five away league games (D2, L2). Interestingly, the visitors conceded 16 goals during those five trips.
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Hamburg v Hoffenheim Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 4.2 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.18 | 4.18 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.18 | 4.18 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.1 | 4 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.95 | 4.1 | 1.77 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Hoffenheim match is: over 2.5 and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Hamburg and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.25% for a win of Hamburg against Hoffenheim with odds of 4.35 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Hoffenheim is 31.25% with odds of 4.35 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Hamburg with odds of 1.8 at 888Starz.
Hamburg - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 47.5% | 1.8 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.93% | |
| Both Team To Score | 79.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 20.16% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Hamburg vs Hoffenheim Form
Hamburg and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Hamburg and Hoffenheim Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
DefenderS. Nandja
N. Katterbach
G. Gocholeishvili
D. Elfadli
MidfielderA. Sambi Lokonga
R. Philippe
O. Stange
D. Downs
L. Philipp
DefenderBernardo
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderA. Prass
C. Campbell
M. Damar
G. Promel
M. Moerstedt
I. Bebou
Missing players
F. Dickes
DefenderM. Muheim
L. Vuskovic
MidfielderJ. Dompe
ForwardY. Poulsen
Philipas Otele
A. Rossing Lelesiit
K. Machida
V. Gendrey
ForwardA. Hlozek
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Hoffenheim
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
Hamburg - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Eight of Hamburg’s last ten Bundesliga games saw both teams score goals.
- Five of Hamburg’s last ten home league games have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored.
- Five of Hoffenheim’s last six league games saw both teams score goals.
- In four of Hoffenheim’s last five away Bundesliga matches, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were netted.
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Our Hamburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction
This is an interesting match with implications at both ends of the table. Hamburg are still not out of the woods and need a win to ease their nerves in the tight relegation battle. As for Hoffenheim, they are still in the mix for a top four finish, and a win will keep them right in the mix. These sides have usually dished out entertaining games, and that could be repeated here.
The reverse fixture ended in a 4-1 win for Hoffenheim, and our Hamburg v Hoffenheim prediction is over 2.5 and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Hoffenheim
| Hamburg vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 3.8 | 4.35 | +14.5% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.35 | +5.6% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.96 | 1.8 | -8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 55.6% (4.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Hamburg vs. Hoffenheim game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Hamburg and Hoffenheim when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
