Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bundesliga runaway leaders Bayern Munich will look to bounce back from their first defeat of the season when they travel to bottom-half side Hamburg for a matchday 20 fixture on Saturday. This match in Hamburg between the 14th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the first-placed ‘Bavarians’ comes with our prediction of an away win and BTTS.
Hamburg’s 18 points from 18 matches (W4, D6, L8) keep them three points above the relegation zone. Bayern have 50 points from 19 matches (W16, D2, L1) and have an eight-point lead over second.
A 0-0 away draw at St. Pauli last matchday meant Hamburg haven’t won in their last five league games (D3, L2). They are still not clear of the relegation threat, although with only two defeats from their last seven Bundesliga games, they are proving a handful.
Hamburg’s threat is prominent at home, where they are unbeaten in five Bundesliga games here (W2, D3).
Bayern ended their league phase engagements of the Champions League with a 2-1 win at PSV Eindhoven in their midweek game. That helped bounce back from a 2-1 loss at home to Augsburg in the Bundesliga.
Being on the road could work to their advantage, as Bayern have posted six consecutive wins on the road in a row, four of which have come in the Bundesliga.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Hamburg v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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8.8 | 6.2 | 1.32 |
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9.1 | 6.05 | 1.29 |
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9.4 | 6.15 | 1.28 |
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8 | 6 | 1.3 |
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8.4 | 6 | 1.29 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Hamburg and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.81% for a win of Hamburg against Bayern Munich with odds of 9.75 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Bayern Munich is 21.74% with odds of 6.4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Hamburg with odds of 1.32 at Stake.
Hamburg - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 58.45% | 1.32 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.06% | |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 24.1% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Form
Hamburg and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Hamburg and Bayern Munich Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2017 - Bundesliga
Hamburg against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
DefenderL. Lemke
W. Omari
G. Gocholeishvili
J. Torunarigha
MidfielderI. Pherai
R. Philippe
O. Megeed
R. Glatzel
J. Urbig
DefenderH. Ito
S. Boey
J. Tah
J. Musiala
T. Bischof
L. Goretzka
ForwardL. Diaz
N. Jackson
Missing players
A. Gronbaek
ForwardY. Poulsen
F. Balde
A. Rossing Lelesiit
K. Laimer
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
M. Olise
(20 Assists)
Hamburg - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Eight of Bayern’s last ten Bundesliga matches saw both teams score goals.
- Eight of Bayern’s last ten away competitive matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Bayern won eight of their last nine away league games.
- Five of Hamburg’s last six competitive matches produced BTTS.
- Bayern won their last nine competitive matches against Hamburg.
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Our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich were beaten 2-1 at home by Augsburg last matchday, their first league defeat of the season. They bounced back in the midweek with a win in the Champions League and will be aiming to get their winning momentum back. Playing Hamburg is unlikely to be a threat, seeing as the Bavarians have won their last ten matches against them, including a friendly.
Hamburg have scored regularly at home, giving them a chance to pinch their visitors here. That’s why our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Bayern Munich
| Hamburg vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 8.5 | 9.75 | +14.7% |
| Draw | 6.3 | 6.4 | +1.6% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.35 | 1.32 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.1% and is now 75.8% (1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
