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Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 47 USA
Hailey Baptiste
28/08/2025 12:40
WTA 24 Japan
Naomi Osaka

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

The last five years haven't been great for Naomi Osaka but she's had a good start at the US Open. In the second round at the event, she will face Hailey Baptiste in what will be their third career meeting. The winner here faces Daria Kasatkina or Kamilla Rakhimova, and we have a prediction of the match.

For the first time in her career, Baptiste has made it past the first round at the US Open. She opened her seventh appearance at Flushing Meadows with a straight-sets win against Katerina Siniakova, moving her to a record 46th in the live rank.

Eight losses in the second round this season will, however, cause her some concerns.

Osaka is one of the top names at the US Open but across her last three appearances, she hasn’t had the best of runs. The Japanese athlete failed to go past the third round in those three, all of which were after her second US Open title.

She is coming from a 2-0 win against Greet Minnen, a worthwhile reprieve after falling for the second time in a final this season. Osaka arrived in New York fresh from a loss in the Montreal final and with a lot of lessons.

She has seven wins in the second round this season while only losing twice and is 24th in the live rankings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Hailey Baptiste v Naomi Osaka Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 1.25
William Hill
4 1.25
Betway
4.25 1.22
Ladbrokes
3.9 1.22
Unibet
3.95 1.26
Check all Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka odds
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Who will win the Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka match is: Osaka to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka game on 28/08/2025 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Hailey Baptiste has a 24.47% chance to win against Naomi Osaka according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
  • Naomi Osaka has a 75.53% probability of winning facing Hailey Baptiste ⭐ with odds of 1.28 at 22bet.

Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hailey Baptiste has a 24.47 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Hailey Baptiste24.47 %
Naomi Osaka75.53 %

Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Form

Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka Last Matches

Hailey Baptiste Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Hailey Baptiste
2 :  0
Katerina Siniakova

19 Aug 2025 - WTA Cleveland Open

Anastasia Zakharova
2 :  0
Hailey Baptiste

18 Aug 2025 - WTA Cleveland Open

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
0 :  2
Hailey Baptiste

7 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Clervie Ngounoue
2 :  1
Hailey Baptiste

29 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Hailey Baptiste

27 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Whitney Osuigwe
0 :  2
Hailey Baptiste
Naomi Osaka Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Greet Minnen
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

7 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Naomi Osaka

6 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

5 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Elina Svitolina
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

3 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Anastasija Sevastova

1 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Jelena Ostapenko

Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Hailey Baptiste

0 %

Naomi Osaka

100 %

22 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami

Hailey Baptiste
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

2 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Hailey Baptiste
Compare Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka with our comparison tool.

Hailey Baptiste - Naomi Osaka Key Points

  1. Osaka won both previous matches against Baptiste.
  2. Baptiste suffered five defeats in her last eight matches.
  3. Baptiste lost at least two sets in three of her last five matches.
  4. Three sets were realized in the two meetings between these two.
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Our Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

Hailey Baptiste has a poor record in this matchup, but will be confident after going past this stage in the last two majors. The American reached the fourth round at Roland Garros then the third round at Wimbledon and will be motivated to go further here.

However, the second round stage hasn’t been kind to her, with eight losses in 13 matches. As Osaka hasn’t had a great season either, Baptiste will fancy her chances. She might take a set off the Japanese. Our prediction for Hailey Baptiste v Naomi Osaka is for Osaka to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
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