Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League
South Korea - K-League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Gwangju FC are about to have their backs against the wall when they welcome in-form Ulsan HD to the Gwangju Football Stadium on matchday R16 of the K League 1. Gwangju have failed to score in their last five league games and are winless in 13 games, hence our prediction leans towards an away win with a clean sheet.
Gwangju FC are anchored at the bottom of the table with seven points to their name in 15 games. They are likely to conclude the season inside the relegation group.
It has been an erratic showing from the Gwangju outfit, who have gone 13 league games without a win (D3, L10). The reason behind their struggles has been the lack of a cutting edge in the final third, having failed to score in ten of those encounters.
In their latest match, they suffered a 4-0 away defeat to Incheon United. That result marked their second consecutive defeat with five goals conceded.
Ulsan HD are FC Seoul's closest title challengers, sitting second in the standings with 26 points and six adrift of the league leaders.
The Tigers were outplayed in their last league game, falling to a convincing 2-0 away defeat at the hands of Gangwon.
Before this unfavourable outcome, they had won three consecutive matches. A return to winning ways seems likely, having suffered just one loss in their last four away games.
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Gwangju FC v Ulsan HD FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.25 | 1.3 | 1.47 |
|
|
21 | 1.26 | 4.77 |
|
|
6.16 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
|
|
7.09 | 4.4 | 1.43 |
|
|
21 | 1.27 | 4.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC?
Our prediction for the Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC match is: Ulsan HD win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/07/2026 between Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC in K-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.29% for a win of Gwangju FC against Ulsan HD FC with odds of 29 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC is 21.2% with odds of 4.4 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Ulsan HD FC vs Gwangju FC with odds of 9 at Betway.
Gwangju FC - Ulsan HD FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gwangju FC Ulsan HD FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD FC wins | 60.52% | 9 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.92 at BC Game |
| Both Team To Score: No | 67.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Ulsan HD FC/Ulsan HD FC | 25.31% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC Form
Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC's standings in the K-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
44 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +5 |
|
12
|
13 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | -42 |
Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD FC Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - K-League
9 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
14 Mar 2026 - K-League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
22 Mar 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - K-League
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - K-League
10 May 2026 - K-League
2 May 2026 - K-League
26 Apr 2026 - K-League
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
15 Apr 2026 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - K-League
5 May 2026 - K-League
22 Apr 2026 - K-League
11 Apr 2026 - K-League
4 Apr 2026 - K-League
18 Mar 2026 - K-League
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2026 - K-League
22 Nov 2025 - K-League
18 Oct 2025 - K-League
2 Jul 2025 - FA Cup
28 May 2025 - K-League
2 May 2025 - K-League
Gwangju FC against Ulsan HD FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
D. Kim
DefenderK. Sung-hoon
K. Yong-hyuk
G. Bae-hyeon
P. Sung-hyun
A. Hyeok-joo
K. Yun-ho
C. Ju-ho
DefenderL. Jae-Ik
MidfielderL. Dong-gyeong
J. Si young
L. Min-hyuk
B. In-woo
ForwardB. Michel
Marcao
L. Heui-kyun
Most goals and assists
Gwangju FC
Ulsan HD FC
M. Min-seo
(6 Goals)
Y. Cariello
(13 Goals)
K. Sung-yun
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Fridjonsson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Ji-Hoon
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Iredale
(2 Assists)
, 
A. D'Avila Ba Loua
(2 Assists)
L. Dong-gyeong
(9 Assists)
Gwangju FC - Ulsan HD FC Key Points
- Gwangju FC are winless in their last 13 league games.
- Ulsan HD have won three of their last four league games.
- Gwangju FC have failed to score in ten of their last 13 K League 1 games.
- Ulsan HD have won two of their last three league meetings with Gwangju FC.
- Gwangju FC are currently on a two-match losing streak.
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Our Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC Prediction
Nothing much can be expected from a Gwangju FC side that has been out of sorts for much of the campaign. Besides suffering back-to-back defeats in the K League 1, this is a team that has lost ten of its last 11 games and failed to score in nine of those outings.
Ulsan HD are more than capable of capitalizing on their opponents' woes, having won three of their last four games. This could see them end their two-match winless league run in this fixture. Our Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD prediction: Ulsan HD win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gwangju FC Ulsan HD FC
| Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC wins | 6.5 | 29 | +346.2% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.4 | +1.6% |
| Ulsan HD FC wins | 1.43 | 9 | +529.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ulsan HD FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 529.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.9% and is now 11.1% (-58.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
