Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
One of the top fixtures of matchday 12 in the Brasileiro Serie A sees 12th-place Gremio hosting 11th-placed Corinthians in Porto Alegre. Will Tricolor Gaucho take advantage of their home field advantage or will Timao pull out a road win? Read on for our match prediction.
It’s been a tepid start to the 2025 campaign for both teams. After just a single win from their first six league fixtures, Gremio are starting to turn things around. A 2-0 away win over Juventude in their last fixture means that Gremio have now won their last three in a row across all competitions.
Only three points separate them from a spot in the top six, which will undoubtedly be the club’s goal this season as they look to get back in the Copa Libertadores.
Corinthians suffered a heartbreaking 1-0 away loss to Huracan in the Copa Sudamericana two weeks ago which saw them fail to progress out of the group stage. They had a golden opportunity for a strong response but they failed to take advantage, ultimately drawing 0-0 at home with Vitoria.
They’re now winless in their last three across all competitions while also being blanked on the scoresheet during that time. Timao’s weakness so far this season has been their away form, as they are still searching for their first league road win (D2, L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Gremio v Corinthians Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 2.88 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.88 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.33 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gremio and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Gremio vs Corinthians match is: Gremio wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/06/2025 between Gremio and Corinthians in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.92% for a win of Gremio against Corinthians with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gremio vs Corinthians is 35.72% with odds of 3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Gremio with odds of 3.82 at Betwinner.
Gremio - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gremio Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 39.92% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 23.33% | 2.22 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 26.91% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Gremio vs Corinthians Form
Gremio and Corinthians's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 |
|
11
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 |
Gremio and Corinthians Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
13 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio against Corinthians Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Gremio
Corinthians
M. Braithwaite
(5 Goals)
Y. Alberto
(5 Goals)
C. Olivera
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Pavon
(2 Assists)
M. Depay
(3 Assists)
Gremio - Corinthians Key Points
- Gremio have won their last three matches in a row overall.
- Corinthians are winless on the road in the Brasileiro Serie A this season, drawing two and losing three.
- Gremio have kept four consecutive clean sheets across all competitions.
- Corinthians have failed to score in their last three matches overall.
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Our Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction
Gremio will be out to end an 12-match winless run against Corinthians dating back to 2018, and they arguably won't have had a better opportunity in a long time. The hosts have been playing much better as of late while their opponents' morale will be low after a tough string of results.
Corinthians away woes coupled with their misfiring attack means that they could be in for a long afternoon. At the current prices, we believe there's some good value to be had in backing the hosts. Our Gremio vs Corinthians prediction: Gremio wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gremio Corinthians
| Gremio vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.88 | -12.7% |
| Corinthians wins | 3.1 | 3.5 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 43.5% (0.0%)
Use the Gremio vs. Corinthians game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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