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Greece vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Greece
28/08/2025 14:30
Italy

Prediction :

 

Giannis Over 8.5 Rebounds

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Greece and Italy go toe to toe in their FIBA Eurobasket campaign opener, promising an electric rematch after their nail-biting 76-74 friendly encounter just days ago. The Episimi Agapimeni will have their superstar back in the lineup this time, but Ethniki may not to be worried and should feel confident after an impressive recent showing. Read on to discover our best Greece vs Italy match prediction.

Despite the absence of Giannis from that recent friendly, Greece managed to take the win. However, his return as the focal point of the team changes everything, and we may even see an even more convincing win over Italy.

Notably, the Greek Freak has been a rebounding machine lately, clearing double digits in his last ten straight games across all competitions, and we can expect history to repeat itself again. When these sides last met outside friendlies, Giannis grabbed 11 rebounds and dominated the paint like, well, classic Giannis. 

Greece's 92-77 loss to France without their star showed just how different they look when he's watching from the sidelines. Now he's back, rested, and ready to remind everyone why he's one of the most dominant forces in international basketball.

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The Best Betting Odds for Greece v Italy Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 3.05
William Hill
1.44 2.62
Betway
1.44 2.9
Ladbrokes
1.4 2.7
Unibet
1.45 2.75
Check all Greece vs Italy odds
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Who will win the Greece vs Italy Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Greece vs Italy match is: Giannis Over 8.5 Rebounds.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Greece vs Italy game on 28/08/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Greece has a 64.76% chance to pick up the win against Italy according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
  • There is a probability of 35.24% ⭐ for Italy to win vs Greece with odds of 3.05 at Bet365.

Greece vs Italy Form

Greece and Italy's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
1
Greece
Greece
4 2 2 0 2
2
Italy
Italy
3 2 1 1 1

Greece and Italy Last Matches

Greece
Greece Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
66 :  76
Serbia
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
66 :  76
Serbia
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Czechia
89 :  93
Greece

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Great Britain
73 :  72
Greece

6 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece
Italy
Italy Last matches
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary

25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
74 :  81
Iceland

22 Feb 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
87 :  80
Turkiye
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
67 :  80
Italy

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
71 :  95
Italy

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
76 :  78
Italy

29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Philippines
83 :  90
Italy

Greece vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Greece

100 %

Italy

0 %

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

3 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket

Greece
85 :  81
Italy

Players list

Greece
Greece
K. Sloukas T. Dorsey G. Antetokounmpo K. Papanikolaou D. Mitoglou
Italy
Italy
A. Pajola M. Spagnolo M. Diouf S. Fontecchio N. Melli

Substitutes

Greece
Greece
G. Larentzakis V. Toliopoulos D. Katsivelis P. Kalaitzakis A. Samodurov K. Antetokounmpo T. Antetokounmpo
Italy
Italy
M. Spissu D. Thompson G. Procida D. Gallinari G. Ricci S. Niang N. Akele

Greece - Italy Key Points

  1. Giannis has cleared 9+ rebounds in each of his last ten games across all competitions, showing remarkable consistency.
  2. He successfully hit over 8.5 rebounds in four of his last six Eurobasket appearances for Greece.
  3. In his last five FIBA World Cup games, he recorded 9+ rebounds in four of those contests.
  4. Giannis grabbed 11 rebounds in his most recent official head-to-head meeting against Italy.
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Our Greece vs Italy Prediction

When the Greek Freak steps back onto the court after his brief hiatus, he'll be hungrier than ever to make his mark. Italy showed they can play with fire in that recent friendly, but now they have to deal with the full Greek package.

The numbers don't lie about Giannis and his ten straight games of 9+ rebounds tells you everything about his current form and hunger. Italy can script all the game plans they want, but stopping a motivated Giannis in full swing is a task even the current best NBA teams consistently fail to do. Hence, our Greece vs Italy prediction is Giannis Over 8.5 Rebounds.

Prediction :

 

Giannis Over 8.5 Rebounds

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Greece vs. Italy game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Greece and Italy? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Greece vs Italy Prediction
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