Europe - EuroBasket
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by Kennedy Kechula | in EuroBasket Predictions
Greece and Finland are set to battle it out for Bronze in this year’s EuroBasket Men’s Championships. Finland, the surprise package in this edition, lost to Germany in the semi-finals. Greece, on the other hand, were denied the chance to battle it out for the Gold Medal by Turkey. Here we have a brief analysis of both teams’ strengths and weaknesses, and after that we will provide our a prediction for the match.
This is the first time Finland have made it as far on the continental stage and are seeking their first medal. For Greece, two-time European champions, this is the closest they have come to making a podium finish in 16 years.
Due to their rich history, Greece are regarded by bookmakers as the best bet to win this match. It will not be easy as Finland have pulled upset after upset and also have a strong recent record against their next opponents.
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The Best Betting Odds for Greece v Finland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 2.65 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.45 | 2.6 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 2.55 |
|
Who will win the Greece vs Finland Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Greece vs Finland match is: over 160.0 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Greece vs Finland game on 14/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Greece has a 57.12% chance to pick up the win against Finland according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.52.
- There is a probability of 42.88% ⭐ for Finland to win vs Greece with odds of 2.65 at Bet365.
Greece vs Finland Form
Greece and Finland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
9 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
7 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
4 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
2 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
7 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
2 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
4 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
10 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
6 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
3 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
3 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
11 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
6 Sept 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Greece - Finland: Form Analysis
Greece came up short in the semi-finals and did so in a big way against the exceptional Turks. Vassilis Spanoulis’s men, who had lost just once up until the semis, were outclassed and ended up falling 94-68.
That was their heaviest loss of the championships, as the other defeat, in the group stages, saw them fall by just three points. Despite not being able to make the championship game, the Hellas have significantly improved in this year’s championships.
Now, the chance to end their long wait for a medal is just one win away. The emphatic loss to Turkey has seen Greece, who had been ranked in the top three for defence all tournament, drop to fifth.
Being hosts aside, Finland have been amazing at this tournament.
Finland have fought against the odds to make it to the last four. They have played some amazing basketball, and having the co-host nation’s tag did not hurt. Lassi Tuovi’s men were drawn in a tough Group B alongside Germany, Lithuania, Sweden, Great Britain and Montenegro.
Winning their first three games proved enough to make the knockout rounds despite back-to-back defeats to end the first stage. In the round of 16, Susijengi pulled a shocker by eliminating heavy favourites Serbia 92-86.
Georgia were next to fall to secure passage to the semis, where another showdown with Germany awaited. This time around, Finland put up a better account of themselves and avoided a blowout loss by going out 98-86.
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Greece & Finland Squad Analysis
Greece, who are featuring in the third place game for the sixth time, have relied heavily on Giannis Antetokounmpo for their scoring. The forward is one of the main favorites for the MVP trophy but winning his nation a first bronze since 2009 will mean more.
He is averaging almost 27 points a game, which is a tally bettered by only one other player. Antetokounmpo and Tyler Dorsey, 11.6 points, are the only players averaging double-digit points for Greece.
NBA star Giannis Antetokounmpo is among the players who have lit up this tournament.
Finland have fared better on the offensive end compared to Greece. Lauri Markkanen has been instrumental in their success, averaging a team-high 23.6 points and eight rebounds.
Mikael Jantunen, 12 points and Olivier Nkamhoua, 10 points, have been Markkanen’s supporting cast. Markkanen is expected to operate mostly in the frontcourt which means he will have a number of face-offs with fellow NBA star Antetokounmpo, adding to a thrilling match.
Greece - Finland Key Points
- Finland are allowing 83.6 points a night.
- Greece and Finland are both averaging over 80 points a game.
- Three players are averaging at least 10 points for Finland.
- Greece are shooting 50% from the field at the EuroBasket.
- Finland and Greece are all at full strength for this match.
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Our Greece vs Finland Prediction
Our prediction for Greece v Finland is for over 160.0 points. Greece and Finland have been among the top offensive teams in this year’s EuroBasket and are both averaging over 80 points. Finland have fared a bit better in this regard than Greece and have the fifth-best offensive rating.
As the winner of this contest secures third place and the Bronze Medal, we should expect the outcome to be of a high-scoring nature. It is also important to remember that both teams are led by stars, i.e Giannis Antetokounmpo and Lauri Markkanen, who are high on the MVP list.
Greece vs Finland - Other Interesting Predictions
Greece to win
For our second prediction for this match, we pick Greece to win. They may not be as offensively rich as their opponents, but Greece have one of the best defences. Though they lost heavily in the semis, Greece have suffocated their opponents with their length. With Antetokounmpo to spur them on, Greece should have just enough to get them through.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Greece vs. Finland game!
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Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Greece vs Finland match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday, 14 September.
This match will be contested at the Xiaomi Arena in Riga, Latvia.
Fans in the UK can stream this action live on DAZN. Fans in Finland can watch their team on Nelonen and Ruutu, while in Greece, ERTFLIX and NOVASPORTS will have the game live. For live minute-by-minute updates, check out the Sportytrader Eurobasket portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
