Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Gor Mahia’s push for the Kenyan Premier League title continues this Sunday with a home match against Mara Sugar. With a game in hand, Gor Mahia are top of the league standings, while Mara Sugar are 13th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Gor pulled a great comeback against Muranga Seal in their last outing to return to the league summit. Trailing 2-0 at halftime, K’Ogalo resumed with purpose and pushed to the end, winning 3-2.
They will hope for an easier outing against Mara Sugar, a team they’ve never lost to. In the two meetings between these two sides, Gor Mahia scored a total of six goals and conceded none.
It isn’t just the head-to-head record that pulls Mara Sugar back here; they’ve also struggled in their recent matches. Ahead of this one, they are winless in the last four matches, drawing three and losing once.
In those four matches they only managed one clean sheet. The Millers will take much encouragement from their last outing, as they came from behind to draw 1-1 with champions Police FC.
That marked their eighth draw in the league this season, and they have managed just four wins from their opening 16 matches. Out of their seven away matches in the league, Mara Sugar are yet to taste defeat; they won two and drew five.
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Gor Mahia v Mara Sugar FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 9.75 | 70 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.16 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.71 | 2.94 | 5.68 |
|
|
1.71 | 2.94 | 5.68 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.15 | 5.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC?
Our prediction for the Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC match is: Gor Mahia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.6% for a win of Gor Mahia against Mara Sugar FC with odds of 1.76 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC is 39.39% with odds of 9.75 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Mara Sugar FC vs Gor Mahia with odds of 70 at Stake.
Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gor Mahia Mara Sugar FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 40.6% | 1.76 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 69.17% | 1.62 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gor Mahia | 20.49% | 4 at LSbet |
Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Form
Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | +28 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Gor Mahia and Mara Sugar FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar FC Key Points
- Gor Mahia are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Mara Sugar lost both previous meetings with Gor Mahia.
- Gor Mahia have won their latest two home matches.
- Mara Sugar are winless in their last four games, losing one.
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Our Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction
Mara Sugar is one of the three sides in the KPL yet to lose an away game. They will be parading that stat against Gor Mahia as they look to open up a gap from the relegation region. Meanwhile, Gor Mahia are pushing for the league title and will come here seeking a win to pull clear at the top.
While technically Gor Mahia are stronger, they will also be boosted by their head-to-head performance in this fixture. The hosts have never lost to Mara Sugar, and neither have they ever conceded in this encounter. Our prediction for Gor Mahia v Mara Sugar is that Gor Mahia wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gor Mahia Mara Sugar FC
| Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 1.8 | 1.76 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 9.75 | +214.5% |
| Mara Sugar FC wins | 5.2 | 70 | +1,246.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gor Mahia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 56.8% (1.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Gor Mahia vs. Mara Sugar FC game!
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Try your luck on this year's Kenyan Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
