Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League

Kenya - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
04/04/2026 08:15
Kariobangi Sharks

Prediction :

 

Gor Mahia wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions

Kariobangi Sharks will take their survival fight to Gor Mahia when the two sides clash in the Kenyan Premier League this Saturday. Gor Mahia, the hosts, look to stretch away at the league summit, while Sharks sit three points above the relegation region. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

With a game in hand as they await the verdict of an abandoned game, Gor Mahia have a four-point buffer. They’ve posted 17 wins from their 25 matches, and among them was a 4-1 win in this reverse fixture.

Sharks rarely trouble K’Ogalo, as coming into this game, the hosts have won seven straight meetings. Before the international break, they beat Shabana 2-1 for their 15th undefeated league outing.

Sharks have spent more days this season in the relegation zone. A spark of form, however, saw them lost just once in seven outings, lifting them off the bottom three.

That form came between January and March, but they’ve slumped again. William Muluya’s boys are coming off two straight defeats. Their most recent was away to AFC Leopards, falling 1-0, their 11th defeat of the league campaign.

That left them on 25 points from 26 matches, and there will be real worry as the side right behind them, APS Bomet, has put up a three-game undefeated run.

Their goal difference of -11 is the most inferior among the sides outside the relegation region.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Gor Mahia v Kariobangi Sharks Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
6.5 1.14 9.25
Melbet
1.61 3.34 5.51
Betwinner
1.42 3.68 7.95
Tonybet
1.66 3.5 5.6
888Starz
1.42 3.68 7.95
Check all Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks?

Our prediction for the Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks match is: Gor Mahia wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks in Kenyan Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.17% for a win of Gor Mahia against Kariobangi Sharks with odds of 6.5 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks is 18.37% with odds of 3.68 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia with odds of 9.25 at Stake.

Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks Prediction and Best Odds:

Gor Mahia Kariobangi Sharks Prediction Probability Odds
Gor Mahia wins 69.17% 6.5 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 56.12% 2.23 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gor Mahia 31.02% 4 at LSbet

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Form

Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks's standings in the Kenyan Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Gor Mahia
69 34 20 9 5 +28
16 Kariobangi Sharks
38 34 8 14 12 -3

Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks Last Matches

Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
2 :  1
Shabana FC

15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Ulinzi Stars
1 :  3
Gor Mahia

5 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Posta Ranger
1 :  1
Gor Mahia

28 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
2 :  1
Mathare United

22 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
3 :  0
Kenya Commercial Bank

15 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
1 :  2
Gor Mahia
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
2 :  1
Shabana FC

28 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
2 :  1
Mathare United

22 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
3 :  0
Kenya Commercial Bank

31 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
3 :  0
Sofapaka FC

18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
3 :  0
Mara Sugar FC

14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
3 :  2
Muranga Seal
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Ulinzi Stars
1 :  3
Gor Mahia

5 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Posta Ranger
1 :  1
Gor Mahia

15 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
1 :  2
Gor Mahia

24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Bidco United
1 :  2
Gor Mahia

11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Shabana FC
0 :  0
Gor Mahia

6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  4
Gor Mahia
Kariobangi Sharks
Kariobangi Sharks Last matches
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
1 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  2
Posta Ranger

15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Shabana FC
1 :  2
Kariobangi Sharks

2 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  2
Tusker Football Club

26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
0 :  1
Kariobangi Sharks

21 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  1
Mathare United
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  2
Posta Ranger

2 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  2
Tusker Football Club

21 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  1
Mathare United

1 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  0
Ulinzi Stars

6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  4
Gor Mahia

18 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  0
Bidco United
L D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Leopards SC
1 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

15 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Shabana FC
1 :  2
Kariobangi Sharks

26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Aps Bomet FC
0 :  1
Kariobangi Sharks

15 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kenya Commercial Bank
1 :  1
Kariobangi Sharks

24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Bandari FC
0 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kakamega Homeboyz
2 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Gor Mahia

100 %

Draw

0 %

Kariobangi Sharks

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.75
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.25
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  4
Gor Mahia

5 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks
1 :  3
Gor Mahia

22 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
1 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

13 Jan 2024 - Kenyan Premier League

Gor Mahia
1 :  0
Kariobangi Sharks

Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks Key Points

  1. Kariobangi Sharks lost their last two matches.
  2. Gor Mahia are unbeaten in their last 15 league games.
  3. Gor Mahia have won 12 more league matches than Sharks.
  4. Kariobangi Sharks lost each of the last seven meetings with Gor.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction

Gor Mahia have hit top form as they seek to reclaim the Kenyan Premier League title. They are going into a game they’ve dominated, winning each of the last seven meetings. To make matters even juicier for them, they will be facing a side with two straight defeats and deflated by a poor run all season.

Gor Mahia are unbeaten in their last 15 league matches, and we don’t see them dropping points here. Our prediction for Gor Mahia v Kariobangi Sharks is that Gor Mahia wins.

Prediction :

 

Gor Mahia wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gor Mahia Kariobangi Sharks

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Gor Mahia wins 1.51 6.5 +330.5%
Draw 3.5 3.68 +5.1%
Kariobangi Sharks wins 5.8 9.25 +59.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Gor Mahia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 330.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 15.4% (-50.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction