GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
Dinamo Zagreb will welcome Genk this Thursday for the first leg of the two teams’ Europa League knockout playoff tie for the round of 16. While Dinamo come here as the stronger, Genk will be gunning for a favorable outcome before they host the second leg next week. Read on to find our two predictions for the match.
This is the third meeting between these two sides. They first matched up in this very competition four years ago, with Zagreb going unbeaten in both group stage fixtures. Despite narrowly missing out on automatic qualification into the round of 16, Genk aren’t favored by bookmakers to win this first leg.
The Belgians finished the league phase ninth, locked out of the last 16 merely by goal difference. Dinamo Zagreb, on the other hand, had a tough group phase run, posting four losses in the eight games. Below is our prediction for this encounter.
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GNK Dinamo Zagreb v Genk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.97 | 3.55 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.52 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.52 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between GNK Dinamo Zagreb and Genk?
Our prediction for the GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk match is: Genk wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between GNK Dinamo Zagreb and Genk in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.93% for a win of GNK Dinamo Zagreb against Genk with odds of 2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk is 24.04% with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Genk vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb with odds of 4.22 at 888Starz.
GNK Dinamo Zagreb - Genk Prediction and Best Odds:
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb Genk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins | 45.93% | 2 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.57% | 1.93 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 20.74% | 5 at Bet365 |
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk Form
GNK Dinamo Zagreb and Genk Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
2 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
2 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
20 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Prva HNL
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Prva HNL
14 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
1 Dec 2025 - Prva HNL
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
8 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
14 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Nov 2021 - Europa League
30 Sept 2021 - Europa League
GNK Dinamo Zagreb - Genk: Form Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb scraped through to the playoffs after a lackluster league phase campaign. The Croatian giants only won three of their eight matches and finished with 10 points. They lost 2-0 away to Midtjylland on Matchday 8.
The Blues will be keen to make full use of this lifeline and qualify for the round of 16 for the first time since the 20/21 campaign. Mario Kovacevic’s men have lost just three of their last 10 matches across all competitions. They have won six times in this stretch of fixtures. To warm up for this game, Zagreb hammered Istra 1961 4-0 in domestic league action over the weekend.
Genk won their last two UEL matches.
Genk narrowly missed out on a top-eight finish, with goal difference their undoing. Nicky Hayen’s men finished just outside the automatic playoff places, having won five matches and drawn once. It was a similar tally as Roma's, who nicked the final automatic spot.
Genk, whose best performance in the Europa League was a run to the quarter-finals in 2016/17, arrive in Zagreb in fine form. The Smurfs haven’t lost any of their last six matches, winning five times, and are on a four-match winning streak. Two of the wins in this stretch came in the UEL. Genk battled to a 3-2 win away to KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League over the weekend.
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GNK Dinamo Zagreb against Genk Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Filipovic
DefenderK. Theophile Catherine
B. Goda
N. Galesic
MidfielderM. Soldo
P. Horvat
ForwardG. Vidovic
M. Bakrar
C. Varela
M. Lisica
H. Van Crombrugge
E. Doucoure
DefenderY. Medina
A. Palacios
MidfielderN. Sattlberger
K. Nkuba
Y. Sor
R. Mirisola
I. Bangoura
J. Erabi
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
GNK Dinamo Zagreb & Genk Squad Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb’s Dion Beljo has been in strong scoring form in the EL and has netted four times. He will see this as a chance to add to his tally. Fellow forward Mounsef Bakrar, with two goals, is the only other player with multiple goals in Europe. Ismael Bennacer hasn’t played for Zagreb since picking an injury in January. He remains sidelined for this outing as well. Paul Tabinas and Raul Torrente are also ruled out of this game.
Genk do not have any injury concerns ahead of this game.
Daan Heymans and Konstantinos Karetsas have scored five goals between them in the Europa League this term. They are the only players with multiple goals in the competition for the Belgian visitors. Tobias Lawal and Hendrik van Crombrugge have alternated between the sticks for Genk, who had one of the best defences in the League Phase. Lawal was on custodian duty for Genk’s last two EL fixtures and conceded just one goal.
Most goals and assists
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
D. Beljo
(5 Goals)
D. Heymans
(4 Goals)
, 
Z. El-Ouadi
(4 Goals)
A. Hoxha
(2 Assists)
K. Karetsas
(4 Assists)
GNK Dinamo Zagreb - Genk Key Points
- Genk have won their last four matches.
- In eight matches in the UEL, Dinamo Zagreb lost four times.
- Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 16 goals in the Europa League this season.
- In the Europa League this season, Genk have claimed five wins in eight games.
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Our GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk Prediction
Our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb v Genk is that Genk wins. Genk had a strong league phase campaign and narrowly missed out on automatic qualification into the round of 16. The visitors won five of their eight games, with three of those successes coming away from home.
With their current hot streak, Genk look likely to win this match. The Smurfs have not lost in six games and are on a four-match winning streak. They were also one of the top defensive teams during the first round and recorded the most tackles through eight matches, with over 160.
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk Alternative Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Twice in their last four matches, Zagreb failed to score, and Genk have two clean sheets in their last four away UEL matches. A low-scoring game could be in the offing here. In our second prediction for this match, we are settling for an under 2.5 goals outcome. Genk’s defensive prowess should frustrate Zagreb’s inconsistent attack line.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis GNK Dinamo Zagreb Genk
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins | 2.3 | 2 | -13.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.66 | +10.9% |
| Genk wins | 3.2 | 4.22 | +31.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 50.0% (6.5%)
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 19 February.
This match will be played at Dinamo’s Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb, Croatia.
Fans in Belgium will have a live telecast of this match on RTBF, Telenet, Be TV, and VRT. In Croatia, Arena Sport will air the game. Minute-by-minute updates of this and other Europa League fixtures this week will also be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
