Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Two sides on three winless outings, Athletic Bilbao and Girona, will be facing off in La Liga this weekend. Hosts Girona arrive for this match in 15th place, while Athletic are 10th, and below is our prediction.
Girona had their 20th winless league outing last time as they battled to a late draw away to Levante. Now on 31 points, the Catalans are six above the relegation region and only seeking a second win in six meetings with Athletic.
Their last seven matches have also yielded one win, with four ending in draws. Surprisingly, that only win was against league leaders Barcelona.
Athletic recently saw their chase for silverware extinguished after elimination from the Copa del Rey. That marked another low in their poor season so far, with Los Leones being winless in 17 of their 27 league outings.
Failure to score in the last two matches could slice away some confidence going into this game. Their ambitions for Europe suffered a significant blow in a 1-0 loss to Barcelona last time out.
Winless in 10 of their opening 13 away La Liga games, Athletic will feel the pressure here. They are unbeaten in their last two meetings with Girona but are winless in their last three visits here.
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Girona v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.32 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.26 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.3 | 2.64 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Girona and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Girona vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Girona wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Girona and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.38% for a win of Girona against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.81 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Girona vs Athletic Bilbao is 29.74% with odds of 3.45 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Girona with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
Girona - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Girona Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 37.87% | 2.7 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.02% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 17.46% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Girona and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
19
|
41 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 |
Girona and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
27 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Girona against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
V. Krapyvtsov
R. Blanco
DefenderD. Lopez
I. Martin
C. Echeverri
A. Ruiz
P. Ba
L. Kourouma
A. Moreno
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Lekue
I. Monreal
J. Areso
A. Boiro
MidfielderM. Vesga
S. Sanchez Camilo
ForwardN. Serrano
G. Guruzeta
U. Izeta
E. Garcia
Missing players
J. Carlos
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderV. Reis
MidfielderD. Van De Beek
Bryan Gil
R. Artero Ruiz
ForwardC. Stuani
Portu
Y. Alvarez
A. Paredes
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
ForwardN. Williams
M. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Girona
Athletic Bilbao
V. Vanat
(9 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
V. Tsygankov
(5 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Girona - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic are coming off two straight defeats.
- Girona have only lost twice in the last 10 home games.
- At home against Athletic, Girona are unbeaten in three outings.
- Athletic have only managed one win in five away games at Girona.
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Our Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Four of Girona’s seven La Liga wins this season have come in home matches. With that, they will be confident as they return home following a tough trip to Levante. They have posted three wins in the last five matches they hosted Athletic Bilbao.
With Bilbao having their own struggles on the road, this could end up as another round of dropped points. Across their 13 away league games, the visitors managed just three wins. Our prediction for Girona v Athletic Bilbao is that Girona wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Girona Athletic Bilbao
| Girona vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona wins | 2.73 | 2.81 | +2.9% |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.45 | -1.7% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.74 | 2.7 | -1.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.5% and is now 37.0% (0.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
