Stage 3 Predictions & Betting tips - Giro d'Italia

Prediction published on 10/05/2025, 12:58 by Matthew Newman | Modified on 11/05/2025 at 13:42

The final of the three stages of the Giro d'Italia to be held in Albania is over 160km with a Cat Four and a Cat Two climb. From the top of the Cat Two, it is almost 40km to the finish, which makes it tricky for a prediction.

If the main sprinters can find their way over the Cat Two climbs then they will fight out the stage but the speed at which Lidl-Trek hit the climbs in the opening stage would blow them out the back.

As such, it is probably the smarter option to concentrate on the puncheurs and the Stage 1 winner Mads Pedersen has to be the place to start. His team were dominant in that first stage and he is the best sprinter of the puncheurs. Very much the one to beat.

Wout van Aert found it tough on the final climb on Stage 1 but he got himself back into things to challenge for the win. He looks the big danger once more.

The fifth home in Stage 1 was Tom Pidcock. The British rider is a solid climber and is more than capable of mixing it with the best of them in a sprint.

For those wanting a higher price each way, Francesco Bussato could be your man. 4th on Stage 1, the 22-year-old is a talent ready to go to the next level.

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Stage 3 - Giro d'Italia prediction key points

Stage 3 has a lot of similarities to Stage 1, a 160km puncheurs stage with a sprint finish.
Mads Pedersen came out on top in Stage 1 so he has to be the favourite under these conditions.
Lidl-Trek had three of the first seven in the Individual time trial in Stage 2 showing off their strength in depth.
Mads Pedersen has five wins from just 21 days racing so far in 2025.

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Our Stage 3 - Giro d'Italia prediction

The final stage in Albania has a Cat Two climb which is going to test the sprinters. Even the likes of Wout van Aert struggled to chase the pace set by Lidl-Trek on stage one and this is a longer and tougher category climb. There is 40km from the top to the finish which will allow some of the better descenders to get back on but this is best left to the puncheurs. As with Stage 1, this looks like a great opportunity for Lidl-Trek to control the race from the front so our Giro d'Italia Stage 3 prediction is for a Mads Pedersen win.

Prediction :

Mads Pedersen to win

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.