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15 May 2025, 07:00 

Giro d'Italia

Cycling

Giro - Stage 6

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Prediction :

 

Mads Pedersen to win

 
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Giro - Stage 6 Predictions & Betting tips - Giro d'Italia

 by Matthew Newman |

Napoli will see the finishing line set up for Stage 6 of the Giro d'Italia. This is the longest stage of the race this year with a Cat Two and Cat Three climb during the day ahead of a long and flat run to Napoli. Let's take a look over the main contenders before making a prediction.

The climbs look tough for the sprinters but there is more than enough time after them to regroup. Olav Kooij might still be reeling from a shock defeat at the hands of Casper van Uden on Stage 4. He won into Naples last year and will be desperate to make amends. 

Despite not being well known, van Uden has to be in the conversation to see if he can back up his Stage 4 win. The 23-year-old Dutchman has now put himself in the limelight.

In 2023, when the stage finished in Naples, the winner was Mads Pedersen. He has a great start to the Giro and to 2025 overall with Lidl-Trek doing a superb job of controlling the peloton. If the team take control early, the sprinting teams may exert more energy than they want to, to get their contenders back on.

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Giro - Stage 6 - Giro d'Italia prediction key points

  1. Naples saw a stage finish in both 2023 and 2024, Mads Pedersen and Olav Kooij took those stages.
  2. Pedersen has won three of the first five stages.
  3. At 227 km in length, Stage 6 is the longest on the 2025 Giro course.
  4. Pedersen beating Kooij in an intermediate sprint in Stage 5 could be a foreshadowing of the stage finale here.
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Our Giro - Stage 6 - Giro d'Italia prediction

The climbing comes early on the stage and attacks to get into the right breakaway on the Cat Two climb will make for an interesting watch. Traditionally, Napoli has been a sprinter's city so we expect any breakaway to be caught. Olav Kooij just doesn't look to have it in the legs at the moment, whereas Mads Pedersen is flying. Kooij couldn't beat Pedersen in an intermediate sprint on Stage 5 which casts concerns over his ability to compete, Our Giro d'Italia Stage 6 prediction is for Mads Pedersen to win.

Prediction :

 

Mads Pedersen to win

 
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