Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
02/03/2026 15:15
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Benfica Lisbon wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Benfica are now ten points behind, but can bring the gap back to seven when they play their pending Matchday 24 game. But with Gil Vicente just five points off the Conference League qualification spot with a game in hand, what are Benfica’s true chances? Let's get into this match prediction!

With Benfica out of the Champions League, their next Liga Portugal game  against Gil Vicente will be a do-or-die affair. And that's because Benfica are already out of every other domestic cup in Portugal, making the league title Mourinho’s only chance for silverware this season.

As Águias now look to continue their league unbeaten run this season after going all 23 games without a single defeat. Benfica’s earlier meeting this season against Gil Vicente was a narrow victory. But now they travel to a ground where Galos has only lost twice this season.

And losing here will be off the agenda as Gil Vicente aims to usurp Braga in 4th to claim the only UEFA Conference League slot available. Galos (which means Roosters) three-game winning streak just ended in their latest game against Estoril (3-1). But Vicente's three-game winning streak at home still stands. The question now is whether As Águias (The Eagles) can break it.

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Gil Vicente v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5.6 4.1 1.57
Melbet
5.8 4.04 1.58
Betwinner
5.75 4 1.59
Bet365
5.75 4 1.51
Roobet
5.8 3.95 1.54
Check all Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2026 between Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.39% for a win of Gil Vicente against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon is 19.62% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Gil Vicente with odds of 1.59 at Betwinner.

Gil Vicente - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:

Gil Vicente Benfica Lisbon Prediction Probability Odds
Benfica Lisbon wins 44% 1.59 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 58.67% 1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 51.25%
Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon 20.76% 2.38 at Bet365

Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Benfica Lisbon
80 34 23 11 0 +49
6 Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 +9

Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
SC Braga

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Gil Vicente

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
5 :  0
Famalicao

26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Gil Vicente

17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
Nacional Madeira
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
SC Braga

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
5 :  0
Famalicao

17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
Nacional Madeira

2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
Rio Ave

29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Tondela
D D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Gil Vicente

26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Gil Vicente

28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  2
Gil Vicente

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Gil Vicente

8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Gil Vicente
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
D W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Real Madrid

8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  2
Real Madrid

25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  3
SC Braga
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Juventus
2 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Gil Vicente

0 %

Draw

0 %

Benfica Lisbon

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

28 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
Gil Vicente

4 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Gil Vicente

26 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

29 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Gil Vicente against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11

Gil Vicente

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

30
Lucao
2
Ze Carlos
39
J. Buatu
4
M. Elimbi Gilbert
3
G. Konan
5
F. Caseres
10
L. Esteves
77
Murilo
95
S. Garcia
27
A. Moreira
23
H. Hernandez
14
V. Pavlidis
21
A. Schjelderup
27
Rafa Silva
25
G. Prestianni
18
L. Barreiro
8
F. Aursnes
26
S. Dahl
30
N. Otamendi
4
A. Silva
17
A. Dedic
1
A. Trubin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Benfica Lisbon

Substitutes

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Goalkeeper

D. Figueira

Defender

Hevertton

Ze Carlos 83'

A. Espigares

Midfielder

S. Bermejo

R. Rodrigues

Z. Carlos

Forward

J. Fernandes

A. Moreira 68'

M. Fernandez

F. Caseres 83'

C. Eduardo

H. Hernandez 68'

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

S. Soares

Defender

J. Neto

A. Bah

A. Schjelderup 81'

S. Lopes Cabral

T. Araujo

Midfielder

E. Barrenechea

F. Aursnes 50'

R. Rios

L. Barreiro 68'

Forward

A. Cabral

D. Lukebakio

G. Prestianni 68'

Missing players

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Midfielder

J. Veloso

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Gil Vicente
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Murilo (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (22 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal L. Esteves (8 Assists)
Best assists
Norway A. Schjelderup (6 Assists)

Gil Vicente - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. Benfica beat Gil Vicente earlier this season, marking seven straight wins for As Águias in their H2H.
  2. Benfica has won the third-most away games this season (8).
  3. Benfica has conceded the fewest away goals this season (5), allowing only 0.21 goals on the road.
  4. Benfica has won its last three league games and six of its last seven, all while conceding only three goals.
  5. Benfica has conceded the third-fewest goals this season (13) and kept the third-most clean sheets (12).
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Our Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

It's a rather tricky game, and you shouldn't expect an easy walkover from Benfica. Despite the recent slip-up, Gil Vicente is still in serious form, especially at home. But for us, it's a matter of “better team wins,” and that's undoubtedly Benfica.

As Águias has both a stronger defence and attack compared to Galos. Plus, the Eagles have a winner in coach Mourinho to lead them in this title-race-deciding clash. Hence, our Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is that Benfica wins.

Prediction :

 

Benfica Lisbon wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gil Vicente Benfica Lisbon

Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Gil Vicente wins 5.8 6.2 +6.9%
Draw 3.9 4.3 +10.3%
Benfica Lisbon wins 1.56 1.59 +1.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 62.9% (-1.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.