Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica are now ten points behind, but can bring the gap back to seven when they play their pending Matchday 24 game. But with Gil Vicente just five points off the Conference League qualification spot with a game in hand, what are Benfica’s true chances? Let's get into this match prediction!
With Benfica out of the Champions League, their next Liga Portugal game against Gil Vicente will be a do-or-die affair. And that's because Benfica are already out of every other domestic cup in Portugal, making the league title Mourinho’s only chance for silverware this season.
As Águias now look to continue their league unbeaten run this season after going all 23 games without a single defeat. Benfica’s earlier meeting this season against Gil Vicente was a narrow victory. But now they travel to a ground where Galos has only lost twice this season.
And losing here will be off the agenda as Gil Vicente aims to usurp Braga in 4th to claim the only UEFA Conference League slot available. Galos (which means Roosters) three-game winning streak just ended in their latest game against Estoril (3-1). But Vicente's three-game winning streak at home still stands. The question now is whether As Águias (The Eagles) can break it.
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Gil Vicente v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5.6 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
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5.8 | 4.04 | 1.58 |
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5.75 | 4 | 1.59 |
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5.75 | 4 | 1.51 |
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5.8 | 3.95 | 1.54 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2026 between Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.39% for a win of Gil Vicente against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon is 19.62% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Gil Vicente with odds of 1.59 at Betwinner.
Gil Vicente - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gil Vicente Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 44% | 1.59 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.67% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 20.76% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
6
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 |
Gil Vicente and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Figueira
DefenderHevertton
A. Espigares
MidfielderS. Bermejo
R. Rodrigues
Z. Carlos
ForwardJ. Fernandes
M. Fernandez
C. Eduardo
S. Soares
DefenderJ. Neto
A. Bah
S. Lopes Cabral
T. Araujo
MidfielderE. Barrenechea
R. Rios
A. Cabral
D. Lukebakio
Missing players
J. Veloso
Most goals and assists
Gil Vicente - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica beat Gil Vicente earlier this season, marking seven straight wins for As Águias in their H2H.
- Benfica has won the third-most away games this season (8).
- Benfica has conceded the fewest away goals this season (5), allowing only 0.21 goals on the road.
- Benfica has won its last three league games and six of its last seven, all while conceding only three goals.
- Benfica has conceded the third-fewest goals this season (13) and kept the third-most clean sheets (12).
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Our Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
It's a rather tricky game, and you shouldn't expect an easy walkover from Benfica. Despite the recent slip-up, Gil Vicente is still in serious form, especially at home. But for us, it's a matter of “better team wins,” and that's undoubtedly Benfica.
As Águias has both a stronger defence and attack compared to Galos. Plus, the Eagles have a winner in coach Mourinho to lead them in this title-race-deciding clash. Hence, our Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is that Benfica wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gil Vicente Benfica Lisbon
| Gil Vicente vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente wins | 5.8 | 6.2 | +6.9% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.3 | +10.3% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.56 | 1.59 | +1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 62.9% (-1.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Gil Vicente vs. Benfica Lisbon game

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.